Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $195
- Potential payout
- $2.6K
- Potential profit
- $2.41K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.1K
Polymarket Trader
rominatur
0xec06668bca4430ef0772ec8276c42250563a9178
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $412.5
- Realized PnL
- $12.04K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$54.24
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.6%
- Current value
- $155.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $844.5
- Multiplier
- 6.43x
- User PnL
- $42.5
Yes position
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $828
- Potential profit
- $828
- User PnL
- -$368.72
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $57
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $543
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $145.15
- Potential profit
- $145.15
- User PnL
- -$7.54
Yes position
Will MrBeast's video get between 72 and 73 million views on day 4?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $134.97
- Potential profit
- $134.97
- User PnL
- -$13.5
Yes position
Will MrBeast's video get between 64 and 66 million views on day 3?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $67.31
- Potential profit
- $67.31
- User PnL
- -$4.71
No position
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.2
- Potential profit
- $17.2
- User PnL
- -$2.24
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.47
- Potential profit
- $12.47
- User PnL
- -$1.75
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.58K
Yes position
Will MrBeast's latest video get 41 million or more views on week 1?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.71K
No position
Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $742.09
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $701.31
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $587.25
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $540.05
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 37.5 and 38.0 million views on day 5?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $537.53
Yes position
Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $398.39
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $358.63
Yes position
Will MrBeast's Celebrity Challenge video get between 79 and 82 million views on week 1?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $325.25
Yes position
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $323.4
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $303.06
No position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $280.72
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $277.68
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $257.46
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $251.67
Yes position
Will Time 2025 Person of the Year be leaked?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $251.23
Yes position
Will Tesla (TSLA) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $244.54
Yes position
Will Trump sue the BBC?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $237.21
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $237.15
No position
Will Elon Musk's net worth be at least $670b on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $228.07
No position
Will "Elizabeth Taylor" get 3 million or more views in the first week?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $227.64
Yes position
Iran strike on US military by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $223.93
Yes position
Will MrBeast hit 105 billion views by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $220.89
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11.3% 1,000 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?Yes 40.9% 1.55 shares
- Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?Yes 14.7% 500 shares
- Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1490?Yes 0.5% 723 shares
- Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1500?Yes 0.1% 999.99 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?No 20.2% 361.04 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?No 20.2% 361.04 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?Yes 24% 207.46 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?No 14% 342.09 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?Yes 14% 219.93 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?No 77% 180 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Yes 27% 116 shares