Polymarket Trader

CRL-Polmkt

0xec0977c1bdcd5ace93eed8716a01bcb5c04e2660

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $67.95
Realized PnL: $41.59
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.09
Potential profit: $64.09
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $48.26
Potential payout: $59.95
Potential profit: $11.69
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $8.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.54
Potential profit: $15.54
User PnL: -$0.93

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.08
Potential profit: $13.08
User PnL: -$8.79

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $10.53
Potential payout: $10.93
Potential profit: $0.4
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.53

Yes position

Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5
Potential profit: $2.5
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.4
Potential profit: $2.4
User PnL: -$1.97

No position

Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.54
Potential profit: $1.54
User PnL: -$1

No position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.3
Potential payout: $1.3
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.26
Potential payout: $1.26
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.23
Potential profit: $1.23
User PnL: -$0.99

No position

Iran leadership change by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.2
Potential payout: $1.2
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.15
Potential payout: $1.15
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.12
Potential payout: $1.12
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.05
Potential payout: $1.05
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will Trump and Xi not shake hands during the day of their next meeting in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.04
Potential payout: $1.04
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.03
Potential payout: $1.03
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.63

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.87

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.79

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.61

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.83

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.28

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.79

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.42

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.74

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.62

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.54

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.53

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.39

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.31

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.5%?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Up position

Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on April 14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?

Yes 66% 45.45 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET

Down 79% 1.25 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET

Down 86% 1.15 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET

Down 80% 1.23 shares
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?

Yes 69% 7.25 shares
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?

Yes 69% 7.25 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET

Up 67% 5.83 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET

Up 67.3% 7.25 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET

Up 97% 1.03 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET

Up 93% 1.07 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET

Up 85% 1.16 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET

Up 83% 1.19 shares