Yes position
Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $223.24
- Potential payout
- $231.7
- Potential profit
- $8.46
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.58
Polymarket Trader
thompson84
0xec0b6404f4a01e540d234c61617532e0f9f049e6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $223.24
- Realized PnL
- $69.18
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Bucks position
Bucks vs. Kings
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.03
Pacers position
Hornets vs. Pacers
Ends Nov 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.4
Canadiens position
Penguins vs. Canadiens
Ends Dec 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.4
Avalanche position
Jets vs. Avalanche
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.16
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down on February 14?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.96
Lightning position
Flyers vs. Lightning
Ends Nov 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.28
Oilers position
Oilers vs. Kraken
Ends Nov 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.7
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.42
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.54
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $3.24
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47
Thunder position
Thunder vs. Lakers
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Octra FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $0.34
Yes position
Nexus FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Thunder
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.34
Red Wings position
Red Wings vs. Bruins
Ends Nov 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.78
Rangers position
Rangers vs. Penguins
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$12.35
Kings position
Grizzlies vs. Kings
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25.39
Golden Knights position
Golden Knights vs. Sabres
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$34.59
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?Yes 95% 284.3 shares
- Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No 99.5% 4.4 shares
- Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No 99.6% 4.4 shares
- Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?Yes 95% 279.27 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 94.6% 210.45 shares
- Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 98.2% 4.03 shares
- Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 98.3% 4.03 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 73.4% 19.14 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 73.6% 19.14 shares
- Spurs vs. ThunderSpurs 39% 27.07 shares
- Spurs vs. ThunderSpurs 40% 27.07 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?Yes 2.1% 18.16 shares