Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.85K
- Potential profit
- $3.85K
- User PnL
- -$999.95
Polymarket Trader
Mahurm
0xec15d02c1f792a07a00f27e056d50a801f01403c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $70.7
- Realized PnL
- $224.37
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 4PM ET
Ends Jul 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $590.4
- Potential profit
- $590.4
- User PnL
- -$499.72
Yes position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $70.7
- Potential payout
- $565.64
- Potential profit
- $494.93
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$178.17
Yes position
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $560.85
- Potential profit
- $560.85
- User PnL
- -$249.75
Down position
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
Ends Jul 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $337.14
- Potential profit
- $337.14
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63.09
- Potential profit
- $63.09
- User PnL
- -$20
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153.11
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.81
Yes position
Will Trump release more Epstein files by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.85
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.55
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.9%
- Multiplier
- 4.19x
- User PnL
- -$49.95
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 24.2% 361.97 shares
- Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?Yes 44.5% 560.85 shares
- Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?Yes 84.6% 590.4 shares
- US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes 62% 402.92 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No 51% 489.82 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 26% 3,845.96 shares
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?Yes 44% 565.64 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No 51% 489.82 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 38% 361.97 shares
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?No 76% 50.95 shares
- Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No 31.7% 63.09 shares
- Will Trump release more Epstein files by August 31?Yes 33.4% 59.85 shares