Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $110.36
- Potential payout
- $6.13K
- Potential profit
- $6.02K
- Multiplier
- 55.56x
- User PnL
- -$67.78
Polymarket Trader
xoxy
0xec1c524c791266d7ab2fea963c60352d02df5452
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $168.86
- Realized PnL
- $419.98
- Win rate
- 91.7%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333
- Potential profit
- $333
- User PnL
- -$49.95
Yes position
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $58.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $241.5
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $7.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $70.58
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $3600 in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $61.34
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $57.5
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $43.04
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $40.05
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $23.48
Yes position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.35
No position
Will George W. Bush attend presidential inauguration?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.36
No position
Will Elon Musk attend presidential inauguration?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.25
No position
Will Bill Clinton attend presidential inauguration?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.16
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.44
Yes position
US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12
No position
Will Kamala Harris attend presidential inauguration?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.91
No position
Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.03
No position
Will Barack Obama attend presidential inauguration?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.5
No Change position
Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bp cut" favored on Monday?
Ends Nov 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.4
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.5
No position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.5
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.77
No position
Will Joe Biden attend presidential inauguration?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
Will Mark Zuckerberg attend presidential inauguration?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Will Hillary Clinton attend presidential inauguration?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Yes 5.1% 3,624.17 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?No 0.3% 2,500 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes 0.3% 2,500 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?No 0.2% 2,500 shares
- Will Hungarian Two-Tailed Dog Party (Magyar Kétfarkú Kutya Párt) (MKKP) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes 0.1% 1,318 shares
- Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?No 0.1% 3,149.96 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?No 29% 177 shares
- Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?No 29% 25.2 shares
- Will Donald Trump say "dictator" at least three times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No 3% 33 shares
- Will Donald Trump say "Venezuela" at least ten times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No 0.6% 91 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes 1% 350 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes 1.1% 350 shares