Polymarket Trader

0xec1d...db17

0xec1d07e5379072429caa16bf6efeae71a6e4db17

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $40.06
Realized PnL: $269.04
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $1.88
Potential payout: $10.74
Potential profit: $8.86
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$1.77

No position

Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 73%
Current value: $5.84
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $2.16
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: $1.84

No position

Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 54%
Current value: $4.08
Potential payout: $7.55
Potential profit: $3.47
Multiplier: 1.85x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $5.88
Potential payout: $5.91
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $4.88

No position

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $1.98
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.03
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$0.02

CYBERSHOKE Prospects position

Counter-Strike: NEXORA vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (BO3) - GLuck Yungstar Closed Qualifier: Series #2 Group D

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $2.2
Potential payout: $4.44
Potential profit: $2.24
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $0.2

CYBERSHOKE Prospects position

Counter-Strike: NEXORA vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects - Map 1 Winner

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 49%
Current value: $2.13
Potential payout: $4.35
Potential profit: $2.22
Multiplier: 2.04x
User PnL: $0.13

BIG Academy position

Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs Endless Journey (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $1.98
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $2.02
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will Netherlands reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $1.82
Potential payout: $3.64
Potential profit: $1.82
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: -$0.18

No position

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 60%
Current value: $2.05
Potential payout: $3.42
Potential profit: $1.37
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $1.99
Potential payout: $3.13
Potential profit: $1.14
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 23-29?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $2.28
Potential payout: $2.46
Potential profit: $0.18
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $1.94
Potential payout: $2.41
Potential profit: $0.47
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $2.01
Potential payout: $2.03
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $1.13
Potential profit: $1.12
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $1.01
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $1.01
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.48

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.67

Martin Landaluce position

Roland Garros ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Vit Kopriva

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.05

MOUZ position

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.22

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14

Karolina Pliskova position

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karolina Pliskova vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.42

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.65

Yes position

Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.91

B8 position

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.79

Kamilla Rakhimova position

Roland Garros WTA: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Jaqueline Cristian

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.38

Under position

France vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.81

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.86

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.77

Spirit position

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.37

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.33

Yes position

Will Spirit win PGL Astana 2026?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.01

Under position

Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: O/U 10.5 Total Corners

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.61

Canadiens position

Canadiens vs. Hurricanes

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.51

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.14

Over position

Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 10.5

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.12

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.71

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will England win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 74% 1.35 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 74% 1.35 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 74% 1.35 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 74% 1.35 shares
Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?

Yes 30% 3.33 shares
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?

No 60% 1.67 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 28?

Yes 16.9% 5.91 shares
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?

No 57% 1.75 shares
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 23-29?

No 90% 1.11 shares
Counter-Strike: Omega vs SHISHKA - Map 1 Winner

SHISHKA 49% 6.45 shares
Counter-Strike: NEXORA vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects - Map 1 Winner

CYBERSHOKE Prospects 46% 2.17 shares
Counter-Strike: NEXORA vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects - Map 1 Winner

CYBERSHOKE Prospects 46% 2.17 shares