Yes position
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $83.79
- Potential payout
- $236.03
- Potential profit
- $152.24
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- $0.22
Polymarket Trader
0xec1e...9153
0xec1ec33ed55deb8dc77fe7675af7fea37a3c9153
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $398.44
- Realized PnL
- $162.49
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.9%
- Current value
- $161.82
- Potential payout
- $205.1
- Potential profit
- $43.28
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $17.36
No position
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $65.66
- Potential payout
- $126.27
- Potential profit
- $60.61
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- $1.26
No position
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 67%
- Current value
- $66.08
- Potential payout
- $98.63
- Potential profit
- $32.55
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- $30.91
No position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $21.08
- Potential payout
- $98.06
- Potential profit
- $76.98
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$12.26
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.61
No position
Kash Patel out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $54.46
No position
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.16
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?No 34% 98.06 shares
- Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?No 57% 32.87 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No 66.5% 72.32 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?No 51% 126.27 shares
- Kash Patel out by June 30?No 90% 108.92 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No 72.6% 132.78 shares
- Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?No 35.7% 131.5 shares
- Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes 29% 168.02 shares
- Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?No 75.1% 129.18 shares
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No 49.9% 130.96 shares
- Kash Patel out by June 30?No 40% 108.93 shares
- Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes 51.2% 68.01 shares