Polymarket Trader

the-Earl

@wandering_earl

0xec2060bceeb4c2e803cec5b3963ddfe7800b3fb6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $329.41
Realized PnL: $4.51K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 23-29?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.75K
Potential profit: $1.75K
User PnL: -$7.05

Yes position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 23-29?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $589.41
Potential profit: $589.41
User PnL: -$31.34

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 30-July 6?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $4.68
Potential payout: $359.67
Potential profit: $354.99
Multiplier: 76.92x
User PnL: -$1.22

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$3.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 18.4%
Current value: $55.05
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $244.95
Multiplier: 5.45x
User PnL: -$35.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 51.4%
Current value: $153.93
Potential payout: $299.76
Potential profit: $145.83
Multiplier: 1.95x
User PnL: $22.24

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $68.62
Potential payout: $299
Potential profit: $230.38
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: $17.19

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$5.4

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.9%
Current value: $15.66
Potential payout: $121.84
Potential profit: $106.18
Multiplier: 7.78x
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.3%
Current value: $16
Potential payout: $92.26
Potential profit: $76.26
Multiplier: 5.77x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 30-July 6?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $1.61
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $73.4
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$1.55

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $70
User PnL: -$4.69

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.9%
Current value: $13.88
Potential payout: $42.25
Potential profit: $28.37
Multiplier: 3.04x
User PnL: -$1.12

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$3.84

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Rajasthan Royals position

Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $772.43

Sunrisers Hyderabad position

Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $730.01

Mumbai Indians position

Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royals

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $491.2

Mumbai Indians position

Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indians

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $368.52

Delhi Capitals position

Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitals

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $345.56

Delhi Capitals position

Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royals

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $287.86

Gujarat Titans position

Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $225.4

Lucknow Super Giants position

Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kings

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $216

Rajasthan Royals position

Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $152.43

Sunrisers Hyderabad position

Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.49

Chennai Super Kings position

Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kings

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $118.86

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.13

Punjab Kings position

Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kings

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.67

Royal Challengers Bengaluru position

Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.24

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.88

Delhi Capitals position

Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Delhi Capitals

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60

Gujarat Titans position

Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabad

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.4

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2400 and $2500 on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.81

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.16

Lucknow Super Giants position

Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kings

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $53.58

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.91

Gujarat Titans position

Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Gujarat Titans

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.25

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 115–129 times June 20–27?

Ends Jun 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $25.89

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 44.8% 126 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 17.2% 37.84 shares
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 30.1% 260 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 43.3% 173.76 shares
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 30-July 6?

Yes 3.5% 75 shares
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 30-July 6?

Yes 3.4% 59.67 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 12.5% 121.84 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.8% 92.26 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 35.5% 42.25 shares
Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil O/U 0.5 AND Spread: Brazil (-3.5) AND Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 4.5

71.8% 13.79 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on July 1?

No 0.2% 500 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 1?

No 0.5% 400 shares