No position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$10
Polymarket Trader
0xeC20d6D42aB5F11A8AD6adF89F598e1662e17c9b-1774402941909
0xec20d6d42ab5f11a8ad6adf89f598e1662e17c9b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.23K
- Realized PnL
- $1.73K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.8%
- Current value
- $1.01K
- Potential payout
- $2.02K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- Multiplier
- 2.01x
- User PnL
- -$87.81
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $10.16
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $389.84
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $9.77
- Potential payout
- $247.25
- Potential profit
- $237.48
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $244.07
- Potential profit
- $244.07
- User PnL
- -$169.8
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $205.07
- Potential payout
- $239.99
- Potential profit
- $34.92
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$1.32
No position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.73
- Potential profit
- $1.73
- User PnL
- -$0.29
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $695.05
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $242.97
No position
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $216.43
No position
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $144.77
No position
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.71
No position
Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.07
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $39.8
Yes position
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.54
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.99
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.61
Y
Yes position
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.83
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.45x
- User PnL
- $18
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $17.2
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.93
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.99
No position
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.33
Yes position
Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.13
No position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.04
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 16.1%
- Multiplier
- 6.23x
- User PnL
- $4.5
No position
Will Trump dance during Easter lunch on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.03
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.6%
- Multiplier
- 6.43x
- User PnL
- $2.77
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by April 11, 2026?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 48% 387.5 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.1% 3,749.99 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 45.6% 526.24 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 23% 1,060 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 84% 200 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 59% 32.9 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 75% 0.01 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 48% 20.48 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 47% 200 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 50% 200 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 50% 200 shares
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.6% 400 shares