Polymarket Trader

kuodsking

0xec26f8d0408e4c082e0777e79f9fcbc4fba7398b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $8.17
Realized PnL: $808.2
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 9
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.27K
Potential profit: $3.27K
User PnL: -$40.99

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.11K
Potential profit: $2.11K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $1.13K
User PnL: -$27

No position

Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.5

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $834.78
Potential profit: $834.78
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $697.9
Potential profit: $697.9
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $524.81
Potential profit: $524.81
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $291.67
Potential profit: $291.67
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $267.67
Potential profit: $267.67
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $227.62
Potential profit: $227.62
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $7.67
Potential payout: $207.26
Potential profit: $199.59
Multiplier: 27.03x
User PnL: -$12.33

No position

Will Trump visit China by May 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $201.92
Potential profit: $201.92
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $198.41
Potential profit: $198.41
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $175.08
Potential profit: $175.08
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $170.45
Potential profit: $170.45
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $156.86
Potential profit: $156.86
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $153.41
Potential profit: $153.41
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $148.35
Potential profit: $148.35
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $119.72
Potential profit: $119.72
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $115.13
Potential profit: $115.13
User PnL: -$20

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $153.61

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.21

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.14

Yes position

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.05

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.86

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $71.19

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.43

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.72

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

No 21% 47.62 shares
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?

No 1% 1,003.94 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

No 19% 52.63 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 23.3% 42.92 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 23.8% 42.02 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 5% 200 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Yes 0.7% 1,442.83 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Yes 11% 90.91 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Yes 11.9% 84.17 shares
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

Yes 2.8% 357.14 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

Yes 22% 45.45 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

Yes 8% 125 shares