Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $1.52
Polymarket Trader
Issac138
0xec2e01f91a34c7a8bb59a69d692689e027a838ab
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $5.86
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
No position
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times March 14-21?
Ends Mar 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.98
No position
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
No position
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
Yes position
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $1.52
No position
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times March 14-21?
Ends Mar 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.98
No position
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
No position
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
Yes position
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.42
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down on March 22?
Ends Mar 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the Eastern Conference?
Ends Jun 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the US sanction UK before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Thunderbolts be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will valid votes be between 36 million and 38 million in South Korean election?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Multiplier
- 26.67x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Multiplier
- 16.95x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will ODS win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.13
No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
No position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.46
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No 89.6% 44 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?No 82% 46 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No 92% 2 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 55% 15 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 53% 76 shares
- US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes 6.8% 2 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No 99.4% 40 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No 98.1% 40 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 40% 22 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 41% 22 shares
- US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes 6.1% 32 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No 37% 83 shares