Yes position
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $47.33
- Potential payout
- $64.4
- Potential profit
- $17.06
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$0.67
Polymarket Trader
nathas
0xec386f53403fe6774a9861962050aa3f46b54c89
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $98.86
- Realized PnL
- $1.23K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.98
- Potential profit
- $32.98
- User PnL
- -$31
No position
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $30.02
- Potential payout
- $30.64
- Potential profit
- $0.61
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will John Cavanaugh be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.7
- Potential profit
- $25.7
- User PnL
- -$22
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $21.5
- Potential payout
- $21.74
- Potential profit
- $0.24
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Will Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.7
- Potential profit
- $19.7
- User PnL
- -$13
Yes position
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.62
- Potential profit
- $17.62
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $630.79
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $213.01
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.9
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.79
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.1
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.98
No position
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.15
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 19, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.56
Yes position
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.13
Yes position
Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.12
Yes position
Once Upon a Farm IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.88
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.39
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $4.24
Ravens position
Ravens vs. Vikings
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.24
No position
Kash Patel out by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.09
No position
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.88
Yes position
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.71
Yes position
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Cadillac Championship?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.47
No position
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.37
Yes position
Will Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.17
Yes position
Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 6, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.46
Yes position
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 87% 41.65 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 13.4% 1,335.26 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 76.8% 41.66 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 15.7% 1,335.26 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes 87.2% 2,584.38 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 72.2% 3,152.17 shares
- Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?No 97.9% 30.64 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June?No 99.2% 14.09 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.7% 16.43 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June?No 99.3% 14.1 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 92% 3,152.17 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No 98.7% 2,934.04 shares