Yes position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 16, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $79.28
- Potential profit
- $76.78
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- -$7.5
Polymarket Trader
ck31ldam4f
0xec451d9ff5f353134c7047521a7035ad5cdfc94a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $45.53
- Realized PnL
- $201.59
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $8.08
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $68.85
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$1.92
Yes position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 23, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $1.47
- Potential payout
- $73.52
- Potential profit
- $72.05
- Multiplier
- 50.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.53
Y
Yes position
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $5.77
- Potential payout
- $38.46
- Potential profit
- $32.69
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- $0.77
Y
Yes position
Will MrBeast say "Technology" during his next YouTube video?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $3.63
- Potential payout
- $27.92
- Potential profit
- $24.29
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$1.37
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "Female" this week?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 60%
- Current value
- $15.92
- Potential payout
- $26.54
- Potential profit
- $10.62
- Multiplier
- 1.67x
- User PnL
- $10.92
Y
Yes position
Will MrBeast say "Subscriber" during his next YouTube video?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 35%
- Current value
- $8.16
- Potential payout
- $23.33
- Potential profit
- $15.16
- Multiplier
- 2.86x
- User PnL
- -$1.84
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.36
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.71
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.24
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.23
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.32
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.48
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.3
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.81
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.05
Up position
XRP Up or Down - January 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.69
Up position
Solana Up or Down - January 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.64
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.26
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.86
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.75
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.68
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.64
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.42
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.02
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.96
Up position
BNB Up or Down - May 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.92
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?Yes 13% 38.46 shares
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 11?Yes 13% 76.92 shares
- Will MrBeast say "Technology" during his next YouTube video?Yes 17.9% 27.92 shares
- Will MrBeast say "Subscriber" during his next YouTube video?Yes 42.9% 23.33 shares
- Will Trump say "Female" this week?Yes 18.8% 26.54 shares
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 23, 2026?Yes 6.8% 73.52 shares
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 16, 2026?Yes 12.6% 79.28 shares
- Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?No 82% 65.81 shares
- Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?No 89.3% 65.82 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETDown 92% 15 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETUp 42% 119.05 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETUp 43% 147.05 shares