Polymarket Trader

ksdfjoih09240

0xec47215b619a6704bd6179c7c4fdaca21ef70c22

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $811.56
Realized PnL: $62.09
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $336.4
Potential payout: $343.09
Potential profit: $6.69
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $3.97

Yes position

Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 95.2%
Current value: $287.08
Potential payout: $301.55
Potential profit: $14.47
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $151.22

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $8.91
Potential payout: $258.19
Potential profit: $249.28
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: $3.09

Yes position

Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.71
Potential payout: $202
Potential profit: $201.29
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $11.36
Potential payout: $194.27
Potential profit: $182.91
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: $2.84

Yes position

Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.43
Potential payout: $171.31
Potential profit: $170.88
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.43

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $2.08
Potential payout: $166.54
Potential profit: $164.46
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$0.36

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $20.51
Potential payout: $150.23
Potential profit: $129.72
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$3.83

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $16.17
Potential payout: $137.58
Potential profit: $121.41
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $0.91

Yes position

Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.74
Potential payout: $134.9
Potential profit: $134.16
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.1%
Current value: $6.76
Potential payout: $94.66
Potential profit: $87.9
Multiplier: 14.01x
User PnL: -$3.46

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $65.26
Potential payout: $75.45
Potential profit: $10.19
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$1.13

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $3.64
Potential payout: $67.95
Potential profit: $64.31
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $1.02
Potential payout: $65.69
Potential profit: $64.67
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.94
Potential payout: $64.71
Potential profit: $63.77
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $11.71
Potential payout: $59.29
Potential profit: $47.58
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: $1.7

Yes position

Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $48.56
Potential profit: $48.49
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.24
Potential payout: $36.16
Potential profit: $35.92
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.24
Potential payout: $36.16
Potential profit: $35.92
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $36.16
Potential profit: $35.96
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.13

No position

Iran leadership change by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $34.42
Potential payout: $34.89
Potential profit: $0.47
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $1.91
Potential payout: $32.11
Potential profit: $30.2
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $0.77
Potential payout: $31.53
Potential profit: $30.76
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $31.22
Potential profit: $31.2
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.57

No position

Will Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?

Ends Dec 19, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $7.23

Yes position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Multiplier: 6.92x
User PnL: $7.07

No position

Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.21

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.53

Yes position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.65

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $2.49

No position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.1

No position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.35

Yes position

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $1.28

No position

Will White House post 200+ posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $0.99

No position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $0.81

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 25.5%
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $0.62

Yes position

Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 AL West title?

Ends Oct 11, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $0.51

Yes position

Will the Republican Party win the NC-14 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $0.43

No position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 77.8%
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $0.29

Under position

Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

Under position

Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

Saudi Arabia position

Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $0.1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

No 98.2% 95.44 shares
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5

Over 47% 10.19 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 86% 6.12 shares
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?

No 18% 18.61 shares
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?

No 18% 9.27 shares
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?

Yes 83% 5 shares
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?

Yes 83% 5 shares
Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)

Ecuador 44% 13.49 shares
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5

Over 64% 14.3 shares
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?

Yes 83% 5 shares
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?

Yes 83% 5 shares
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.7% 72.95 shares