Yes position
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $1.02K
- Potential payout
- $2.42K
- Potential profit
- $1.41K
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- -$145.38
Polymarket Trader
0xEc560bCBe104Ff09F202Ba9Ea93B1c7EEd8a13a7-1769871112821
0xec560bcbe104ff09f202ba9ea93b1c7eed8a13a7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.85K
- Realized PnL
- $16.07K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Iran successfully targets shipping by August 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $790
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $210
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$110
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $40.5
- Potential payout
- $202.51
- Potential profit
- $162.01
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- $4.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.29K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.52K
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 8, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.89K
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $835.84
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $800.5
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 30, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $538.05
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $506.03
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $435.9
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 29, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $309.37
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 4, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $293.16
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 3, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $256.87
No position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $254.19
Yes position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 25, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $192.99
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 5, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $191.96
Yes position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.6
No position
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153.25
No position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.45
Yes position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $92.85
Yes position
Will Iran strike Bahrain again in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.92
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 9, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45
Yes position
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.54
Yes position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 27, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.61
Yes position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 2, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.1
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.48
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?Yes 48% 2,423 shares
- Iran successfully targets shipping by August 31?Yes 90% 191.32 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes 18% 5 shares
- Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?No 96% 237.01 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 38% 262.82 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 99.5% 4,178.12 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 46.7% 29 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 46.7% 206 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 46% 223.28 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 40.5% 450.24 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 78% 3,957.3 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 66.2% 4,673.63 shares