Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $51.11
- Potential profit
- $51.08
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.95
Polymarket Trader
0xBardak
0xec7c55fb1814698621b8fc48fe12efe2025e7ad4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $25.96
- Realized PnL
- $2K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $1.6
- Potential payout
- $29
- Potential profit
- $27.41
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$2.07
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $24.99
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.11
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.25
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.99
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.94
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $2.55
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $7.45
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$1.75
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $5.2
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $4.8
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- $0.7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $2.85
- Potential payout
- $9.99
- Potential profit
- $7.15
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$1.75
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $1.25
- Potential payout
- $9.99
- Potential profit
- $8.74
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $2.2
- Potential payout
- $9.99
- Potential profit
- $7.79
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $5.39
- Potential payout
- $6.42
- Potential profit
- $1.03
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $3.77
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.2%
- Current value
- $1.16
- Potential payout
- $5.02
- Potential profit
- $3.86
- Multiplier
- 4.32x
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.82
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.99
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.74
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $1.22
- Potential payout
- $4.99
- Potential profit
- $3.77
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- $0.37
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $1.57
- Potential payout
- $4.98
- Potential profit
- $3.41
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- $0.39
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.35
- Potential profit
- $1.35
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $0.16
- Potential payout
- $1.16
- Potential profit
- $1.01
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C or higher on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $240.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $240.21
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.04
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.62
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C or higher on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.13
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.16
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.11
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 20?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.36
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.92
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.53
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 78°F or higher on April 4?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.74
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.13
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.28
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C or below on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.24
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.43
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.07
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.71
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.08
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.55
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.43
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.46
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C or below on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.42
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.98
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on June 26?Yes 99.5% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 26?Yes 99.6% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 26?Yes 99.8% 6.26 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on June 26?Yes 99.5% 28 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 36°C on June 26?Yes 99.6% 4.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 26?Yes 99.8% 5.11 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 26?Yes 99.5% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on June 26?Yes 99.9% 3.06 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 25?Yes 99.6% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on June 25?Yes 99.5% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 26?Yes 25% 19 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on June 25?Yes 17% 1.7 shares