Polymarket Trader

Biver52

0xec829edacf53dad6fdfb89f752ca7b8004a26eaa

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $297.51
Realized PnL: $2.73K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $50B and $75B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $20.09
Potential payout: $397.91
Potential profit: $377.82
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: $2.2

Yes position

Will Perplexity’s market cap be less than $20B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $20.25
Potential payout: $397.91
Potential profit: $377.66
Multiplier: 19.65x
User PnL: $5.14

Yes position

JD Vance out as VP by June 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $1.03
Potential payout: $295.03
Potential profit: $294
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.54

Yes position

Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $3.86
Potential payout: $286.2
Potential profit: $282.34
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 24, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $6.39
Potential payout: $284.21
Potential profit: $277.82
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$1.04

Yes position

Will Eric Vaughan advance to the general election for WA-03?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $11.22
Potential payout: $280.4
Potential profit: $269.18
Multiplier: 25.00x
User PnL: -$12.02

No position

Will the Democratic Party win the IL-01 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 7.1%
Current value: $19.68
Potential payout: $277.64
Potential profit: $257.96
Multiplier: 14.10x
User PnL: $5.02

Yes position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $16.05
Potential payout: $274.38
Potential profit: $258.33
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: -$0.67

Yes position

Will Elise Stefanik win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.68
Potential payout: $271.27
Potential profit: $270.59
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.33

No position

Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-12 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $20.34
Potential payout: $271.19
Potential profit: $250.85
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$2.78

Yes position

Will the Republican Party win the NY-06 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $17.57
Potential payout: $270.34
Potential profit: $252.77
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$2.76

Yes position

Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?

Ends Jan 29, 2027

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $48.42
Potential payout: $269
Potential profit: $220.58
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: $35.66

Yes position

Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $4.77
Potential payout: $265
Potential profit: $260.23
Multiplier: 55.56x
User PnL: -$19.73

Yes position

Will Concrete launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $2.34
Potential payout: $260
Potential profit: $257.66
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$2.78

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party win the IA-04 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $14.03
Potential payout: $255
Potential profit: $240.98
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$8.92

No position

Will the Democratic Party win the MA-07 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $13.84
Potential payout: $251.66
Potential profit: $237.82
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$4.81

No position

Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $8.42
Potential payout: $244.19
Potential profit: $235.76
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: -$3.34

Yes position

Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $32.5B by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $5.96
Potential payout: $225.01
Potential profit: $219.05
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: $0.59

No position

Will Anthropic have the second highest private market valuation on June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $6.26
Potential payout: $223.71
Potential profit: $217.44
Multiplier: 35.71x
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will annual inflation be 4.3% in June?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.33
Potential payout: $223.09
Potential profit: $222.76
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$2.37

Yes position

Will the US strike 12 countries in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.9%
Current value: $10.78
Potential payout: $222.25
Potential profit: $211.47
Multiplier: 20.62x
User PnL: $7.15

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Reza Pahlavi in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $7.53
Potential payout: $206.35
Potential profit: $198.82
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: -$7.28

Yes position

Will Z.ai have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.43
Potential payout: $204.99
Potential profit: $203.56
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: $0.82

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $36.2
Potential payout: $201.11
Potential profit: $164.91
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: $16.09

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: $171.09

No position

Will Russia capture Kindrativka by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170

No position

Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $142.8

No position

Will Thom Tillis vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $128.93

Yes position

Will Fátima Tardío win the 2026 Sucre mayoral election?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.58

Yes position

Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on January 16, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $117.55

Yes position

Will Delroy Lindo be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.18

No position

Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.5

Yes position

Will the People Power Party win 4 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.6

Yes position

Will Frankenstein win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $111.48

Yes position

Will "Worst Ex Ever: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.7

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $106.12

Yes position

Will White House post 200+ posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.57

Yes position

Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.27

Yes position

Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $102.17

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by February 28, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101

Yes position

Will Justin Murphy be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.26

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.27

Yes position

Will Tran Cam Tu be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $97.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 31°F or below on February 9?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $96.7

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96

Yes position

Will the Patek Index hit $104,000 (LOW) by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96

Yes position

Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.65

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 1% 5.32 shares
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?

Yes 7% 100 shares
Will the Republican Party win the RI-01 House seat?

Yes 6% 100 shares
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 3.4% 100 shares
Will the Republican Party win the MD-04 House seat?

Yes 4% 100 shares
Will the Democratic Party win the MA-04 House seat?

No 6% 100 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 1% 100 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 2.6% 15 shares
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 1.8% 100 shares
Will Will McBride win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?

Yes 0.3% 36.75 shares
Netanyahu out by July 31?

Yes 6% 6.38 shares
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?

Yes 6% 100 shares