0xheavy888

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $299.25K
Potential payout: $300K
Potential profit: $750
User PnL: $150

Uruguay position

Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $275K
Potential profit: $275K
User PnL: -$104.5K

Over position

Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $170K
Potential profit: $170K
User PnL: -$83.3K

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $100K
User PnL: -$90K

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $15.41K
Potential payout: $18.91K
Potential profit: $3.5K
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $5.58K

No position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $13.94K
Potential payout: $17K
Potential profit: $3.06K
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $4.19K

9z position

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.99K
Potential profit: $12.99K
User PnL: -$4.27K

Monte position

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.75K
Potential profit: $10.75K
User PnL: -$3.67K

No position

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$7K

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.2%
Current value: $9.41K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $585
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.32K

No position

Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $9.36K
Potential payout: $9.37K
Potential profit: $14.06
User PnL: $4.5K

FUT Esports position

Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.49K
Potential profit: $8.49K
User PnL: -$2.27K

MOUZ position

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.29K
Potential profit: $8.29K
User PnL: -$953.9

Natus Vincere position

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.22K
Potential profit: $6.22K
User PnL: -$776.14

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $6.1K
Potential payout: $6.12K
Potential profit: $15.3
User PnL: $1.51K

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $2.17K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $2.82K
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$304.99

No position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$2.4K

No position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $2.22K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $2.77K
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$224.99

No position

Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$3.6K

No position

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $4.52K
Potential payout: $4.94K
Potential profit: $419.83
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $765.58

Natus Vincere position

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 2 Winner

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.93K
Potential profit: $4.93K
User PnL: -$977.81

TheMongolz position

Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.84K
Potential profit: $4.84K
User PnL: -$1.22K

TheMongolz position

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winner

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.44K
Potential profit: $4.44K
User PnL: -$1.34K

Gen.G position

LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.22K
Potential profit: $4.22K
User PnL: -$2.47K

TheMongolz position

Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.3K
Potential profit: $3.3K
User PnL: -$1.11K

XLG Gaming position

Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.23K
Potential profit: $3.23K
User PnL: -$864.82

Natus Vincere position

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.06K
Potential profit: $3.06K
User PnL: -$264.38

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.04K
Potential profit: $3.04K
User PnL: -$1.29K

XLG Gaming position

Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.82K
Potential profit: $2.82K
User PnL: -$56.34

XLG Gaming position

Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.79K
Potential profit: $2.79K
User PnL: -$348.78

Team Vitality position

Valorant: Paper Rex vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.69K
Potential profit: $2.69K
User PnL: -$174.16

Gen.G position

LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.57K
Potential profit: $2.57K
User PnL: -$1.42K

Legacy position

Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$787.5

G2 Esports position

Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.36K
Potential profit: $2.36K
User PnL: -$884.72

9z position

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 2 Winner

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.06K
Potential profit: $2.06K
User PnL: -$586.34

Team Vitality position

Valorant: Paper Rex vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.96K
Potential profit: $1.96K
User PnL: -$214.35

No position

Netanyahu out by June 30?

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $1.69K
Potential payout: $1.7K
Potential profit: $11.05
User PnL: $306.94

FUT Esports position

Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.53K
Potential profit: $1.53K
User PnL: -$411.61

FUT Esports position

Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$78.79

No position

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.6%
Current value: $1.42K
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $81.75
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $518.25

EDward Gaming position

Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Map 2 Winner

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.3K
User PnL: -$536.65

No position

Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $1.29K
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $10.4
User PnL: $431.57

Natus Vincere position

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.27K
Potential profit: $1.27K
User PnL: -$665.63

BetBoom Team position

Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$250

Legacy position

Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $939.69
Potential profit: $939.69
User PnL: -$105.05

Paper Rex position

Valorant: Paper Rex vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $669.61
Potential profit: $669.61
User PnL: -$430.39

FUT Esports position

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $608.39
Potential profit: $608.39
User PnL: -$174.64

No position

Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $114
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $486
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: -$306

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $498.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $1.75
User PnL: $98.25

TheMongolz position

Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $476.67
Potential profit: $476.67
User PnL: -$73.24

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.33K

LYON position

LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.86K

G2 Esports position

LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.65K

FUT Esports position

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winner

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.8K

G2 Esports position

LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winner

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.66K

DN Freecs position

LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-In

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.65K

SK Gaming position

LoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.52K

LOUD position

LoL: LYON vs LOUD - Game 2 Winner

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.37K

Movistar KOI position

LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO1)

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.3K

BNK FEARX position

LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.14K

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.68K

Nongshim Red Force position

LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.49K

Team Vitality position

LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.13K

G2 Esports position

LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.13K

SK Gaming position

LoL: SK Gaming vs Fnatic (BO1)

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.1K

SK Gaming position

LoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.95K

Nongshim Red Force position

LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winner

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.72K

Karmine Corp position

LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.5K

Aurora position

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.46K

XLG Gaming position

Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.45K

B8 position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.3K

Team Vitality position

LoL: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winner

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.29K

Natus Vincere position

LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Group Stage

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.13K

G2 Esports position

LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9K

MOUZ position

Dota 2: MOUZ vs Heroic (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.96K

Fnatic position

LoL: Team Vitality vs Fnatic (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.74K

Xtreme Gaming position

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.71K

3DMAX position

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.35K

G2 Esports position

LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.33K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.25K

Dplus KIA position

LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.2K

Nongshim Red Force position

LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3)

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.16K

G2 Esports position

LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winner

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.09K

Fnatic position

LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO1)

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.91K

Team Falcons position

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.9K

Team Yandex position

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Heroic - Game 2 Winner

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.74K

LGD Gaming position

LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LGD Gaming (BO3)

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.74K

B8 position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.72K

PARIVISION position

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP - Map 1 Winner

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.7K

Tundra Esports position

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.52K

Kiwoom DRX position

LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.49K

Fnatic position

Valorant: Fnatic vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffs

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.38K

OG position

Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.31K

TYLOO position

Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A