Yes position
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $97.5
- Potential payout
- $13K
- Potential profit
- $12.9K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$6.4K
Polymarket Trader
StarMaster
@_starmaster
0xeca0c0888e34df59589c67fbe53dc7f298b5e8f8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $34.33K
- Realized PnL
- $34.3K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $12.9K
- Potential payout
- $13K
- Potential profit
- $97.5
- User PnL
- $6.4K
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.8%
- Current value
- $550
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $3.45K
- Multiplier
- 7.27x
- User PnL
- -$118.99
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.1%
- Current value
- $322
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $3.68K
- Multiplier
- 12.42x
- User PnL
- -$39.5
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $106
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $3.89K
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $226
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $3.77K
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- $22
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $738
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $3.26K
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $26
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.9%
- Current value
- $514
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $3.49K
- Multiplier
- 7.78x
- User PnL
- $62
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $375.11
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $2.63K
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $104.93
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $2.72K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $285
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $560
No position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $2.5K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $494.99
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $547.19
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $2.62K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $374.95
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $894.86
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.6%
- Current value
- $288.75
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.21K
- Multiplier
- 8.66x
- User PnL
- $78.75
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $41.25
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.46K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$6.25
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $166.25
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.33K
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- -$53.75
Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $1.03K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $970.07
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$63.6
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $850.04
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$208.1
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $1.91K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $95
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $97.5
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $1.99K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- $322.78
No position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $889.96
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $30.04
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $847.36
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $652.65
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$7.65
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $1.49K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $11.25
- User PnL
- $63.75
No position
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $530.83
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $964.47
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$491.73
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $631.27
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $618.77
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $30.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.03K
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.52K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.38K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.17K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.87K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38K
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26K
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.24K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $1.01K
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $975.15
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $947.29
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $930.88
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $920.58
No position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $894.77
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $868
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $862.06
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $857.49
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by between 3% and 6%?Yes 13.9% 200 shares
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by between 6% and 9%?Yes 21.8% 200 shares
- Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?No 60% 750 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 78.1% 200 shares
- Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No 10% 250 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes 11.8% 100 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?Yes 84.3% 45.99 shares
- Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No 78% 200 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?Yes 4% 500 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?Yes 86.5% 500 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes 86.9% 499.75 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 75% 250 shares