Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $144.4K
- Potential payout
- $146.67K
- Potential profit
- $2.27K
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $58.38K
Polymarket Trader
Melody626
0xecaa8806a9a05049d7d5260a33dc924220e377a9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $861.9K
- Realized PnL
- $986.08K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $138.47K
- Potential payout
- $138.47K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $26.32K
No position
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $110.49K
- Potential payout
- $110.49K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $37.63K
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $110K
- Potential payout
- $110K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $56.7K
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $106.02K
- Potential payout
- $106.77K
- Potential profit
- $747.39
- User PnL
- $33.63K
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $71.6K
- Potential payout
- $82.77K
- Potential profit
- $11.17K
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $16.37K
Yes position
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $73.88K
- Potential profit
- $73.88K
- User PnL
- -$37.14K
Yes position
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $65.78K
- Potential payout
- $65.78K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $20.98K
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $64.7K
- Potential payout
- $64.7K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $14.8K
No position
Will Eric Adams drop out?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63.57K
- Potential profit
- $63.57K
- User PnL
- -$29.36K
Yes position
Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $252.89
- Potential payout
- $63.22K
- Potential profit
- $62.97K
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.2K
Yes position
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $61.98K
- Potential profit
- $61.98K
- User PnL
- -$24.9K
No position
U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $57.94K
- Potential profit
- $57.94K
- User PnL
- -$41.83K
No position
US government shutdown in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $56.63K
- Potential profit
- $56.63K
- User PnL
- -$32.84K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.46K
- Potential profit
- $49.46K
- User PnL
- -$3.11K
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 9.1%
- Current value
- $4.11K
- Potential payout
- $45.12K
- Potential profit
- $41.01K
- Multiplier
- 10.99x
- User PnL
- $2.17K
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.1%
- Current value
- $5.36K
- Potential payout
- $41.05K
- Potential profit
- $35.69K
- Multiplier
- 7.66x
- User PnL
- -$9.14K
No position
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.87K
- Potential profit
- $38.87K
- User PnL
- -$11.32K
Yes position
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.35K
- Potential profit
- $37.35K
- User PnL
- -$10.66K
Yes position
Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $18.6
- Potential payout
- $37.19K
- Potential profit
- $37.17K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$21.18K
Yes position
Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $8.27K
- Potential payout
- $36.77K
- Potential profit
- $28.49K
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$6.22K
Yes position
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.09K
- Potential profit
- $35.09K
- User PnL
- -$18.75K
No position
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.6K
- Potential profit
- $32.6K
- User PnL
- -$8.88K
No position
Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $32.45K
- Potential payout
- $32.45K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $10.19K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
GOP wins popular vote by less than 1.5%?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.61K
Yes position
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.02K
Yes position
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.11K
Yes position
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.66K
No position
Will there be 150,000,000-155,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?
Ends Dec 16, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.28K
No position
GOP wins popular vote by 1.5-1.75%?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.26K
No position
Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.16K
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.71K
Yes position
Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.23K
No position
Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.16K
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.67K
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.07K
No position
Will the government shutdown end November 12?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.37K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.87K
Yes position
Will there be 155,000,000-160,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?
Ends Dec 16, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.89K
Yes position
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.39K
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.72K
Yes position
Will Lee Jun-seok win between 8% and 11% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Ends Jun 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.58K
Yes position
Will Jay Jones win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.47K
Yes position
Will the government shutdown end November 13?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.36K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.54K
No position
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.51K
Yes position
Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.31K
No position
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?
Ends Feb 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.15K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?Yes 3.8% 43.8 shares
- Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?Yes 9% 2,000.45 shares
- Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?Yes 53.6% 95.81 shares
- Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?Yes 70% 7,681.87 shares
- Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?Yes 73% 280 shares
- Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?Yes 71% 648.44 shares
- Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?Yes 69.4% 560.12 shares
- Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?Yes 5.9% 3,463.82 shares
- Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?Yes 5% 1,797.26 shares
- Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?Yes 4.2% 481.65 shares
- Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?Yes 4% 1,278.63 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?Yes 81.9% 1,666.88 shares