Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $278.12K
- Potential profit
- $278.12K
- User PnL
- -$62.78K
Polymarket Trader
SaylorMoon
@FhantomBets
0xecb14ac6e9ca447ce2f2912e6217b43d7b655da3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $168.26K
- Realized PnL
- $1.38M
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $110.79K
- Potential payout
- $110.96K
- Potential profit
- $166.44
- User PnL
- $25.11K
Yes position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $826.15
- Potential payout
- $97.19K
- Potential profit
- $96.37K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$20.99K
Under position
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 221.5
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $87.31K
- Potential profit
- $87.31K
- User PnL
- -$87.31
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $75.77K
- Potential profit
- $75.77K
- User PnL
- -$9.38K
Thunder position
Spurs vs. Thunder
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.45K
- Potential profit
- $66.45K
- User PnL
- -$5.86K
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60.6K
- Potential profit
- $60.6K
- User PnL
- -$30.02K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $47.59K
- Potential payout
- $54.39K
- Potential profit
- $6.8K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $11.02K
Pistons position
Cavaliers vs. Pistons
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40K
- Potential profit
- $40K
- User PnL
- -$18.7K
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.61K
- Potential profit
- $33.61K
- User PnL
- -$24.98K
Yes position
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $30K
- User PnL
- -$4.77K
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.87K
- Potential profit
- $23.87K
- User PnL
- -$13.42K
Pistons position
Cavaliers vs. Pistons
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.15K
- Potential profit
- $20.15K
- User PnL
- -$2.32K
Ilia Topuria position
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $20K
- User PnL
- -$15.8K
Yes position
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $20K
- User PnL
- -$369.06
Yes position
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $20K
- User PnL
- -$40
Avalanche position
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.56K
- Potential profit
- $17.56K
- User PnL
- -$9.46K
No position
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.53K
- Potential profit
- $16.53K
- User PnL
- -$2.99K
Yes position
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.16K
- Potential profit
- $15.16K
- User PnL
- -$1.9K
Yes position
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.06K
- Potential profit
- $13.06K
- User PnL
- -$1.63K
Yes position
Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12K
- Potential profit
- $12K
- User PnL
- -$969.97
No position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.41K
- Potential profit
- $10.41K
- User PnL
- -$562.23
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.37K
- Potential profit
- $10.37K
- User PnL
- -$1.34K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $9.05K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $949.98
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $3.85K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.47K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?
Ends Jan 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $164.67K
No position
Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.5K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.97K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.21K
No position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.08K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.43K
Yes position
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.3K
Yes position
Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.14K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.68K
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.99K
Cardinals position
Cardinals vs. White Sox
Ends Jun 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.67K
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.45K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.52K
Yes position
Is there more than 147341858 Troy Ounces of Gold in Fort Knox?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45K
Yes position
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.58K
Yes position
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.6K
Texans position
Bills vs. Texans
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.41K
No position
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.86K
Yes position
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-04-05?
Ends Apr 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.28K
Florida position
Florida vs. Houston
Ends Apr 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.69K
Yes position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.26K
Bengals position
Steelers vs. Bengals
Ends Oct 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.65K
No position
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.52K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 85% 16,182.02 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 84.8% 34,226 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?Yes 98.7% 32,683.08 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 70% 1,357.52 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 70.4% 19,323.26 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 77% 6,527.73 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 98.6% 9,547.27 shares
- Will Denmark vs. Ukraine end in a draw?Yes 21% 105 shares
- Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07?No 24% 3,362.2 shares
- Will Denmark vs. Ukraine end in a draw?Yes 19% 1,502.43 shares
- Will Denmark vs. Ukraine end in a draw?Yes 17.7% 2,312.5 shares
- Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07?No 22.9% 316.26 shares