Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$10.8
Polymarket Trader
Aletatata
0xecc1097d4df73d2f2d28f6c08ccd4453bee05931
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $78.81
- Realized PnL
- $172.59
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $14.96
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $6.56
No position
Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$10.05
No position
Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$6.6
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.2%
- Current value
- $3.42
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $6.59
- Multiplier
- 2.93x
- User PnL
- $2.34
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Yes position
Will the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein not be revealed in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $8.45
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $1.55
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $4.65
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.4%
- Current value
- $1.23
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.77
- Multiplier
- 8.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Yes position
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $8.95
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $1.05
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $9.35
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.65
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.35
No position
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$7.5
No position
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$8.9
No position
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.3%
- Current value
- $4.33
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $5.68
- Multiplier
- 2.31x
- User PnL
- -$1.87
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$3.5
Yes position
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $1.28
- Potential payout
- $6.41
- Potential profit
- $5.13
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.72
Yes position
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $1.23
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $3.78
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$1.68
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $4.77
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.23
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.82
No position
Will Trump deport less than 200k people?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $4.89
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.12
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Will Hyperliquid's HIP-4 upgrade go live on mainnet by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.95
No position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.4
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $3.04
- Potential payout
- $4.26
- Potential profit
- $1.21
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $1.04
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $2.92
- Potential payout
- $3.17
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.92
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.75
Yes position
Will Khamenei post 0-19 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.89
Yes position
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $210 on March 16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.28
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.65
Yes position
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-23?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.75
No position
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.29
Yes position
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $310 on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.85
Yes position
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $305 on March 16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.6
No position
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on March 16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.6
Yes position
Will "Epstein" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (February 22)
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.3
Yes position
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on March 16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.3
No position
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $250 on March 18?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.8
No position
Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.6
No position
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $255 on March 26?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.8
No position
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
No position
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $310 on March 18?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.6
Yes position
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.5
Yes position
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.46
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.44
No position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $185 on March 16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.4
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.35
Yes position
Will Movsar Evloev fight Alexander Volkanovski next?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 86%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $4.33
Yes position
Will Meta (META) close above $620 on March 16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.15
No position
X Money released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes 54% 10 shares
- Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes 54% 10 shares
- Will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be between $1,226,000 and $1,244,000 on April 30?Yes 58.6% 5 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?No 33.4% 10 shares
- Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?No 75% 10 shares
- Will 4–5 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?No 82% 4.42 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No 60% 10 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No 76% 10 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?No 59.1% 10 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?No 80% 10 shares
- X Money released by April 30, 2026?No 59% 10 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?No 55.7% 10 shares