0x2048

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.9
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.9

No position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $167.74
Potential payout: $181.35
Potential profit: $13.6
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$2.36

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $159.28
Potential payout: $160
Potential profit: $0.72
User PnL: $0.88

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $119.04
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $0.96
User PnL: $1.74

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C or higher on June 18?

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $116.04
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $3.96
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$1.62

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C or higher on June 19?

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $118.38
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $1.62
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $2.06

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $118.98
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $1.02
User PnL: $0.19

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.95
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C or below on June 18?

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $1.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $98.95
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $79.48
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $0.52
User PnL: $0.36

No position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $79.48
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $0.52
User PnL: $4.26

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $79.52
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $0.48
User PnL: $1.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $73.16
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $6.84
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$1.4

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $69.2
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $10.8
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$8.75

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $78.03
Potential payout: $79.99
Potential profit: $1.96
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.96

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $74.2
Potential payout: $74.5
Potential profit: $0.3
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.52
Potential profit: $68.52
User PnL: -$0.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67
Potential profit: $67
User PnL: -$2.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $64.45
Potential payout: $65
Potential profit: $0.55
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $64.22
Potential payout: $65
Potential profit: $0.78
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$0.13

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C or below on June 19?

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $64.29
Potential payout: $65
Potential profit: $0.72
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$0.06

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $64.55
Potential payout: $65
Potential profit: $0.45
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $64.19
Potential payout: $65
Potential profit: $0.81
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $64.74
Potential payout: $65
Potential profit: $0.26
User PnL: $0.39

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be 68°F or higher on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 12AM ET

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.55

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.94

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.38

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.19

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 70-71°F on April 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1AM ET

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.02

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.51

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.04

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.79

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET