Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$366
Polymarket Trader
0xd3878591606e7e7a56a2a2f3b1cc8ef3760e6540
0xece7f77e6a8f924f1d9dfe7943b75fb1c87660bd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.4K
- Realized PnL
- -$250.54
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.94K
- Potential profit
- $1.94K
- User PnL
- -$500
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $1.4K
- Potential payout
- $1.62K
- Potential profit
- $218.46
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $725.97
Yes position
Will Trump announce Scott Bessent as next Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $492.43
- Potential profit
- $492.43
- User PnL
- -$100
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $216.85
- Potential profit
- $216.85
- User PnL
- -$101.57
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $891.1
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $820.11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $356.98
Yes position
Will Trump announce Chris Waller as next Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $298.58
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $148.79
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.36
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.41
Yes position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.73
Yes position
Will Trump drop out of presidential race?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$29
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$43.5
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$110
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$116.5
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2600 on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$239.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$336.95
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $107K and $109K on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$400
No position
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$552.43
Yes position
Spotify working again by midnight?
Ends Jun 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$793.83
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 34% 588.24 shares
- Starmer out by May 31, 2026?Yes 22.5% 999.97 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETUp 99% 101.01 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETUp 97% 103.09 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETUp 96% 104.17 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETUp 93.2% 107.24 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETUp 83.5% 119.71 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETUp 77.7% 32.19 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 46% 1,030 shares
- Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes 0.2% 500 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETUp 44% 22.38 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETDown 48.5% 203.17 shares