Y
Yes position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.7%
- Current value
- $40.97
- Potential payout
- $424.53
- Potential profit
- $383.56
- Multiplier
- 10.36x
- User PnL
- -$48.13
Polymarket Trader
innnne
0xececfd112e92be0750363c91909c47b449aba183
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $152.97
- Realized PnL
- -$3.58
- Win rate
- 45.5%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 56%
- Current value
- $112
- Potential payout
- $200.01
- Potential profit
- $88
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- $66.97
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $197.09
- Potential profit
- $197.09
- User PnL
- -$21.68
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $97.22
- Potential profit
- $97.22
- User PnL
- -$17.5
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $76.92
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.94
- Potential profit
- $22.94
- User PnL
- -$3.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.32
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.98
Y
Yes position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $12.51
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.75
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.99
Yes position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.29
Yes position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30.07
Yes position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$38.23
Yes position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$39.68
Yes position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$72.87
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 6.4% 116.32 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 21% 35.36 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 22.5% 235.37 shares
- Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 26.5% 308.21 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 62% 47.91 shares
- Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 25.6% 202.93 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 35.9% 47.92 shares
- Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 18.2% 202.94 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes 18% 97.22 shares
- Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?Yes 11% 142.85 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?Yes 2.2% 84.5 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?Yes 4% 84.5 shares