Polymarket Trader

spraynpray

@spraynpray_pm

0xed06747bab9314563eed7b63784bf1c4b2a72a2c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $451.39
Realized PnL: $375.97
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $28.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $21.76
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $2.25

No position

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $45.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $4.75
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$0.25

No position

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $43.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $6.75
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$0.75

No position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $32.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $17.75
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: -$6.25

No position

Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?

Ends Nov 1, 2026

Implied probability: 87.1%
Current value: $43.53
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $6.48
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $1.52

No position

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $42.24
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $7.75
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $8.25

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $23.8
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $16.2
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

Will Draymond Green play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 44%
Current value: $17.6
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $22.4
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: -$10.2

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 89.8%
Current value: $35.9
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $4.1
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $0.58

Yes position

Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?

Ends Nov 1, 2026

Implied probability: 56%
Current value: $21.17
Potential payout: $37.8
Potential profit: $16.63
Multiplier: 1.79x
User PnL: -$6.04

No position

Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $31.15
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $3.85
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $3.85

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $12.15
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $17.85
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $1.95

No position

Will Jaylen Brown play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 37%
Current value: $9.62
Potential payout: $26.01
Potential profit: $16.39
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: -$5.41

Yes position

Will SpaceX IPO on June 30, 2026 or later?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.73
Potential profit: $24.73
User PnL: -$0.07

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$15.4

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $8.7
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $11.3
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$1.7

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $0.62
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.38
Multiplier: 32.26x
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $19.73
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.27
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $19.69
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.31
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 17.4%
Current value: $1.74
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.26
Multiplier: 5.73x
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will "Government" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 8?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$8.7

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 71%
Current value: $7.1
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $2.9
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: -$0.4

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $7.65
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $2.35
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $3.75

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Alien abduction at Brazil vs Scotland game in Miami?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $182.75

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56

Yes position

Will Morez Johnson Jr. be drafted in the top 10 of the 2026 NBA Draft?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.85

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.4

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.25

No position

Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.82

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.18

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.6

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.87

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.23

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran" during Tele-Rally?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.8

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.61

Yes position

Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?

Ends Nov 1, 2026

Implied probability: 30.2%
Multiplier: 3.31x
User PnL: $5.24

No position

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 61%
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: $4.72

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.2

No position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.2

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 67%
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: $3.75

No position

Will OpenAI file for an IPO by May 29, 2026?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.5

Yes position

Trump kiss by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $3.2

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $3.2

Yes position

Will there be 1+ trades in the first round of the 2026 NBA Draft?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.13

Yes position

Will "Prediction" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.1

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.04

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the announcers say "Barcelona" during the Uruguay vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 72% 5 shares
Will the announcers say "Real Madrid" during the Uruguay vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 67% 5 shares
Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" during the Jordan vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 78% 10 shares
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

No 91% 5 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 98.8% 20 shares
MLB: Perfect Game thrown in 2026 season?

No 85.5% 16.2 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 49% 5 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

No 75% 10 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 97.4% 20 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 20.2% 10 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 62.1% 5 shares
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?

No 91% 50 shares