Polymarket Trader

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0xed105e138d6d88279884f8cd1ccb593040be45eb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.09K
Realized PnL: $186.83
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 12
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 96.2%
Current value: $850.88
Potential payout: $884.96
Potential profit: $34.07
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $50.89

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $769.23
Potential profit: $769.23
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 43.4%
Current value: $132.33
Potential payout: $305.26
Potential profit: $172.93
Multiplier: 2.31x
User PnL: -$67.67

Yes position

Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $104.23
Potential payout: $141.82
Potential profit: $37.58
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $4.23

Yes position

Will Leeds be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$10

Spain position

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $23.81
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.02

No position

Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $54.25

England position

T20 World Cup: England vs Italy (Game 1)

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.65

Yes position

No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.41

Yes position

Will Robert Kenyon finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.59

Yes position

Liverpool FC leading at halftime?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.75

No position

Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.51

No position

UK Cabinet Minister resigns by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.05

No position

Will USD/KRW hit 2000 (High) in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1.61

Yes position

Will Germany vs. Ghana end in a draw?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Trump drops Powell investigation by February 28?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Angeliki Stogia - Labour win the Gorton and Denton by-election?

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Yes 65.5% 305.26 shares
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?

Yes 90.4% 110.62 shares
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?

Yes 70.5% 141.82 shares
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?

Yes 90.4% 774.34 shares
Will USD/KRW hit 2000 (High) in 2026?

No 94.5% 107.52 shares
Spread: Spain (-1.5)

Spain 50% 40 shares
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

No 21% 23.81 shares
Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?

Yes 30% 33.33 shares
Will Robert Kenyon finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Yes 77.8% 128.59 shares
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

No 98.9% 661.69 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.6% 769.23 shares
Will Germany vs. Ghana end in a draw?

Yes 5% 20 shares