No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $720.3
- Potential payout
- $980
- Potential profit
- $259.7
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $15.73
Polymarket Trader
Suet-Lam
0xed19489cfbf7e0002147a2556e956d8ac909cb5e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.05K
- Realized PnL
- $3.72K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $699.87
- Potential payout
- $828.25
- Potential profit
- $128.38
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $156.65
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $381.41
- Potential payout
- $410.12
- Potential profit
- $28.71
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $79.35
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $290.4
- Potential payout
- $400.55
- Potential profit
- $110.15
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $56.53
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $11.81
- Potential payout
- $375
- Potential profit
- $363.19
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- -$18
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $46.81
- Potential payout
- $360.08
- Potential profit
- $313.27
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$15.01
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $333.03
- Potential payout
- $346.19
- Potential profit
- $13.16
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $22.54
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $246.63
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $3.38
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $16.63
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $10.48
- Potential payout
- $185.47
- Potential profit
- $174.99
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- -$72.85
No position
Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Current value
- $170.52
- Potential payout
- $179.4
- Potential profit
- $8.88
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $61.03
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Current value
- $161.54
- Potential payout
- $171.22
- Potential profit
- $9.67
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $41.55
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $77.58
- Potential payout
- $159.96
- Potential profit
- $82.38
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $3.16
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $130.66
- Potential payout
- $136.25
- Potential profit
- $5.59
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $13.72
No position
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $110.75
- Potential payout
- $132.63
- Potential profit
- $21.88
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $54.81
- Potential payout
- $126
- Potential profit
- $71.19
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $69
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $51
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $101.4
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $18.6
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$4.6
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $102.98
- Potential payout
- $119.74
- Potential profit
- $16.76
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $10.81
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $14.69
- Potential payout
- $117.53
- Potential profit
- $102.84
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$52.35
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $98.59
- Potential payout
- $112.67
- Potential profit
- $14.08
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $24.55
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.6%
- Current value
- $13.4
- Potential payout
- $106.78
- Potential profit
- $93.38
- Multiplier
- 7.97x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $36.16
- Potential payout
- $99.08
- Potential profit
- $62.92
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$37.58
No position
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $97.65
- Potential payout
- $98.84
- Potential profit
- $1.19
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $5.7
No position
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $67.77
- Potential payout
- $97.53
- Potential profit
- $29.76
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $0.24
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $416.08
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $368.92
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $351.33
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $218.67
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $206.33
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $197.2
No position
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183.85
No position
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.41
No position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134.11
Yes position
Will "GOAT" Third Weekend Box Office be greater than 12m?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.26
No position
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.06
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.34
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.9
No position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $105.47
No position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.98
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $101.53
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.32
No position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.79
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.9
No position
Will "GOAT" Third Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 11m?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.64
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.95
No position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.41
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.72
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $77.82
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by June 26, 2026?Yes 83% 47.11 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 73% 400 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 73% 400 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes 63% 5 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes 63% 5 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?No 39% 9.54 shares
- Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?No 65% 20 shares
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No 83% 40 shares
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No 83% 40 shares
- Starmer out by June 26, 2026?No 25% 20 shares
- Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes 12% 24.02 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes 86% 5 shares