Polymarket Trader

jasonmy

0xed208f5a73748229798c5ca6856aafb1706bca57

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $58.11
Realized PnL: $775.06
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Macron out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $9.1
Potential payout: $9.12
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Netanyahu out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $6.24
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.24

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $5.74
Potential payout: $5.81
Potential profit: $0.07
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.74

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.68
Potential profit: $5.68
User PnL: -$5.4

No position

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $5.31
Potential payout: $5.4
Potential profit: $0.09
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.56

No position

Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $4.25
Potential payout: $4.32
Potential profit: $0.07
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $4.08
Potential payout: $4.08
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.08

No position

H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $3.37
Potential payout: $3.64
Potential profit: $0.27
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.24

No position

Will there be exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $3.57
Potential payout: $3.61
Potential profit: $0.04
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.1

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.6
Potential profit: $3.6
User PnL: -$3.17

No position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $3.56
Potential payout: $3.56
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $3.23
Potential payout: $3.29
Potential profit: $0.05
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $2.84
Potential payout: $2.85
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.74
Potential payout: $2.74
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.4%
Current value: $2.03
Potential payout: $2.18
Potential profit: $0.14
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $2.05
Potential payout: $2.06
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $167.1

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.51

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.08

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.64

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.38

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.37

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.32

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.01

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.87

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.56

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.99

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.64

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.34

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.1

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

No position

Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $2.16

Yes position

Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.40 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.15

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 1?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19

No position

Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
User PnL: $1.11

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05

Yes position

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.94

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.81

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?

No 90% 3.26 shares
Ledger IPO before 2027?

Yes 10% 6.94 shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No 72.5% 4.68 shares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 82.6% 4.27 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 14?

Yes 98.9% 153.6 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 14?

Yes 95.4% 210 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 14?

No 99.9% 3,111 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?

Yes 99.2% 148 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 13?

No 98.9% 44.13 shares
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?

No 98.4% 2.74 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?

No 98.2% 25 shares
Netanyahu out by June 30?

No 96% 6.25 shares