Polymarket Trader

cigoL-QWEN

0xed3f6f9be1500cc0ae11b97b9e3e839b8fcbab1c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $61.92
Realized PnL: $783.29
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $77
Potential profit: $77
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.32
Potential profit: $40.32
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will SpaceX have 14+ launches in June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $15.65
Potential payout: $32.26
Potential profit: $16.61
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $5.65

No position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.67
Potential profit: $26.67
User PnL: -$8

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.39
Potential profit: $17.39
User PnL: -$8

No position

Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.39
Potential profit: $16.39
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $8.35
Potential payout: $14.52
Potential profit: $6.17
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$0.65

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $8.79
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $5.5
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$0.21

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.7
Potential profit: $12.7
User PnL: -$8

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 22?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $11.52
Potential payout: $12.66
Potential profit: $1.14
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $1.52

No position

Will AJ Dybantsa be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $9.82
Potential payout: $12.05
Potential profit: $2.23
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$0.18

No position

Will annual inflation increase by 3.8% in April?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.99
Potential profit: $11.99
User PnL: -$8

No position

Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.95
Potential profit: $11.95
User PnL: -$7

No position

Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.44
Potential profit: $11.44
User PnL: -$8

No position

Will Darryn Peterson be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $7.8
Potential payout: $9.76
Potential profit: $1.95
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: -$0.2

No position

Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.86
Potential profit: $8.86
User PnL: -$8

No position

Will Serena Williams Win Return Doubles Match at HSBC Championships?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$4

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.58
Potential profit: $7.58
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in May?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.41
Potential profit: $7.41
User PnL: -$4

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.04
Potential profit: $7.04
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.78
Potential profit: $6.78
User PnL: -$4

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.52
Potential profit: $6.52
User PnL: -$6

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.1
Potential profit: $6.1
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.6
Potential profit: $4.6
User PnL: -$4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

FURIA position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5)

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.66

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.1

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $51.61

Magic position

Warriors vs. Magic

Ends Nov 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.37

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.71

Yes position

Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-07?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45

76ers position

Celtics vs. 76ers

Ends Nov 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.09

Jazz position

Pacers vs. Jazz

Ends Nov 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.18

Hawks position

Hawks vs. Jazz

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.36

Shevchenko position

UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.87

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-08?

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.44

Yes position

Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the AFC North?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.67

Toledo position

Spread: Louisville (-11.5)

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $24.89

Nebraska Cornhuskers position

Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Indiana Hoosiers

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.47

Raptors position

Warriors vs. Raptors

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.46

Under position

Mavericks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5

Ends Nov 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.67

Yes position

Will Burkina Faso win on 2025-12-24?

Ends Dec 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.3

Makhachev position

UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21

Yes position

Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-06?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.13

No position

Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.87

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.46

Yes position

Trump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.64

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will AJ Dybantsa be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?

No 83% 12.05 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

No 86% 15.62 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 62% 14.52 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

No 63% 14.29 shares
Will Darryn Peterson be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?

No 82% 9.76 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

No 64% 15.63 shares
Will SpaceX have 14+ launches in June 2026?

No 31% 32.26 shares
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 22?

No 79% 12.66 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

No 39% 13.33 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

No 63% 12.7 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

No 60% 13.33 shares
Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?

No 24.8% 40.32 shares