Polymarket Trader

87q35hg42875gh42901758

0xed465d8ee6f4a8f3732b4bbce5d8cd54b13acc5a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $20.09
Realized PnL: $685.63
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $712.11
Potential profit: $712.11
User PnL: -$42.39

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.99
Potential profit: $299.99
User PnL: -$3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $104.16
Potential profit: $104.16
User PnL: -$44.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92.69
Potential profit: $92.69
User PnL: -$62.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75.23
Potential profit: $75.23
User PnL: -$10.32

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.64
Potential profit: $61.64
User PnL: -$29.53

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.91
Potential profit: $57.91
User PnL: -$29.53

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.91
Potential profit: $57.91
User PnL: -$29.53

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$19.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.1
Potential profit: $42.1
User PnL: -$19.69

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.07
Potential profit: $41.07
User PnL: -$9.45

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.99
Potential profit: $39.99
User PnL: -$19.69

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.84
Potential profit: $37.84
User PnL: -$9.46

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.39
Potential profit: $35.39
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.12
Potential profit: $34.12
User PnL: -$9.89

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 60%
Current value: $20.09
Potential payout: $33.48
Potential profit: $13.39
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: $6.34

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.24
Potential profit: $31.24
User PnL: -$17.18

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.35
Potential profit: $23.35
User PnL: -$9.58

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.96
Potential profit: $19.96
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.31
Potential profit: $17.31
User PnL: -$8.65

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.35
Potential profit: $2.35
User PnL: -$0.99

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.67

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $32.55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.45

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.84

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.69

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.62

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.66

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.45

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.48

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.44

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.44

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.44

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.67

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.57

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.86

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.48

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.41

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.62

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Yes 41.1% 21.48 shares
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Yes 41% 12 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

Up 14.1% 35.39 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET

Down 23% 41.07 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET

Down 76% 12.93 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Up 25% 37.84 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET

Down 39% 14.71 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET

Up 45% 12.81 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET

Up 45% 12.81 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET

Down 36% 15.9 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET

Up 77% 27.5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET

Up 51% 27.5 shares