Yes position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $73.92K
- Potential profit
- $73.92K
- User PnL
- -$645.83
Polymarket Trader
edgefunds
0xed4d2a0fd33ce9a2a521b764ca6d53e216ec1a9d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $152.31
- Realized PnL
- $2.6K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.52K
- Potential profit
- $34.52K
- User PnL
- -$862.08
Yes position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.92K
- Potential profit
- $23.92K
- User PnL
- -$597.02
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.78K
- Potential profit
- $1.78K
- User PnL
- -$49.99
No position
Will "The Crash" be the top global Netflix movie this week?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- User PnL
- -$29.21
Yes position
Will "Swapped" be the top global Netflix movie this week?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- User PnL
- -$27.87
No position
Will "Swapped" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- User PnL
- -$27.5
No position
Will "The Boroughs" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $732.3
- Potential profit
- $732.3
- User PnL
- -$18.4
No position
Will "Nemesis" be the top global Netflix show this week?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $719.93
- Potential profit
- $719.93
- User PnL
- -$18
Yes position
Will "The Crash" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $705.04
- Potential profit
- $705.04
- User PnL
- -$25.28
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $184.88
- Potential profit
- $184.88
- User PnL
- -$86.01
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $176.71
- Potential profit
- $176.71
- User PnL
- -$91.79
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $170.79
- Potential profit
- $170.79
- User PnL
- -$37.17
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $152.31
- Potential payout
- $157.51
- Potential profit
- $5.2
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $11.11
Down position
XRP Up or Down - March 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.89
- Potential profit
- $90.89
- User PnL
- -$36.15
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.63
- Potential profit
- $71.63
- User PnL
- -$41.57
Up position
XRP Up or Down - March 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.03
- Potential profit
- $66.03
- User PnL
- -$37.85
Up position
Solana Up or Down - February 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.66
- Potential profit
- $62.66
- User PnL
- -$18.45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $61.88
- Potential profit
- $61.88
- User PnL
- -$16.91
Down position
XRP Up or Down - March 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $56.94
- Potential profit
- $56.94
- User PnL
- -$14.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.74
- Potential profit
- $53.74
- User PnL
- -$24.44
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47.35
- Potential profit
- $47.35
- User PnL
- -$24.21
Up position
Solana Up or Down - March 5, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $42.67
- Potential profit
- $42.67
- User PnL
- -$21.06
Yes position
Will "Swapped" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $223.46
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $190.12
Down position
Solana Up or Down - February 20, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.63
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.6
No position
Will "Nemesis" be the top global Netflix show this week?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.97
Up position
XRP Up or Down - February 21, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.67
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.68
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.78
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.02
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.79
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.93
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.41
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.54
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.71
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 20, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.92
Up position
Solana Up or Down - February 20, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.78
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.77
Up position
Solana Up or Down - February 20, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.58
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.42
Up position
XRP Up or Down - February 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.4
Up position
Solana Up or Down - February 20, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.91
Up position
XRP Up or Down - February 18, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.29
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 20, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.35
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes 42% 2.38 shares
- US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes 21% 4.76 shares
- US strike on Mexico by December 31?Yes 19% 5.26 shares
- Will XRP dip to $1.00 by December 31, 2026?Yes 95% 1.05 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 5.8% 17.24 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 6% 16.67 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 7% 14.29 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 8% 12.5 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 12% 8.33 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 16% 6.25 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 20% 5 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 19% 5.26 shares