Polymarket Trader

rasmushr97

0xed526d9ae17d46807dbf60871152abf3f0eff6ac

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.54
Realized PnL: $60.87
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $108-116m?

Ends Jul 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.29
Potential profit: $60.29
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$5.13

Human position

Will Team Human or Team AI win the Aster trading competition?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $26.32
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $0.82
Potential payout: $18.18
Potential profit: $17.36
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$1.18

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 11AM ET

Ends Aug 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.87
Potential profit: $15.87
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.78
Potential profit: $14.78
User PnL: -$3.4

No position

Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.24
Potential profit: $11.24
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.87
Potential profit: $10.87
User PnL: -$1

No position

Earthquake 7.0 or above before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.34
Potential profit: $10.34
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $1.57
Potential payout: $9.52
Potential profit: $7.95
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$2.43

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.19
Potential profit: $9.19
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

OpenAI browser by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.31
Potential profit: $8.31
User PnL: -$2.66

Yes position

Will Venstre win the second most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $7.14
User PnL: -$1.3

Yes position

Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.76
Potential profit: $6.76
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.2
Potential profit: $4.2
User PnL: -$1.89

No position

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.57
Potential profit: $3.57
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.29
Potential profit: $2.29
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.6%
Current value: $2.15
Potential payout: $2.25
Potential profit: $0.1
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
User PnL: $10.54

Yes position

Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.5

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.3

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.63

Yes position

Will there be at least 1700 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.15

Yes position

Earthquake 7.0 or above by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.19

Yes position

Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.19

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.17

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.87

Yes position

Will the US embassy in Venezuela reopen by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7

No position

Another US military action against Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.6

Yes position

Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.46

No position

Will Artemis II launch by February 7?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45

No position

Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.88

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.67

No position

Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass?

Ends Aug 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

Yes position

Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.53

No position

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.53

Yes position

Will PVV win 26 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.52

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.7%
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.36

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 5?

No 82% 15.85 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 5?

No 84% 8.97 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 5?

No 40.3% 24.83 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 94% 6.03 shares
Will Venstre win the second most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?

Yes 18.2% 7.14 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?

No 50.1% 8 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 82.9% 6.03 shares
Will the US embassy in Venezuela reopen by March 31?

No 36.7% 14.18 shares
Will Artemis II launch by February 7?

No 58% 3.45 shares
Will Team Human or Team AI win the Aster trading competition?

Human 3.8% 26.32 shares
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Yes 48% 4.17 shares
Will the US embassy in Venezuela reopen by March 31?

Yes 54% 3.7 shares