No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7K
- Potential profit
- $7K
- User PnL
- -$949.99
Polymarket Trader
0xeD5BA834cd6d2f3a1E958A6C8e503A15b2808924-1769891229344
0xed5ba834cd6d2f3a1e958a6c8e503a15b2808924
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.8K
- Realized PnL
- $318
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $267.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.73K
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- -$167.5
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$6
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$800
Yes position
Nuclear weapon detonation by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$400
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $595
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $405
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $65
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $935
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $65
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $215
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.33
- Potential payout
- $217.63
- Potential profit
- $217.3
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$4.95
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $296
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $222
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$200
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 53% 1,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 72% 1,000 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?No 9% 2,732.42 shares
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes 2.3% 69 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?No 40% 2,000 shares
- Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Yes 8.7% 5,000 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 10% 2,000 shares
- US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?No 63% 600 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?No 25% 237.94 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 63% 800 shares
- Nuclear weapon detonation by December 31?Yes 20% 25 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 0.2% 3,000 shares