Polymarket Trader

Ermcl

0xed677602543d0627fb22a9902327359d3aa2e6f4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $565.6
Realized PnL: $1.11K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $36.11
Potential payout: $5.56K
Potential profit: $5.52K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$13.89

Yes position

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $62.37
Potential payout: $2.55K
Potential profit: $2.48K
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$37.63

Yes position

Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.73K
Potential profit: $1.73K
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $390.6
Potential payout: $1.48K
Potential profit: $1.09K
Multiplier: 3.78x
User PnL: $150.6

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $9.29
Potential payout: $476.19
Potential profit: $466.9
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$0.71

Yes position

Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $41.82
Potential payout: $363.62
Potential profit: $321.81
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$58.18

Wild position

Wild vs. Stars

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $223.45
Potential profit: $223.45
User PnL: -$98.32

Yes position

Will the Vancouver Canucks win the 2025 Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$10

Canadiens position

Canadiens vs. Lightning

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $129.13
Potential profit: $129.13
User PnL: -$49.07

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $20.56
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $90.56
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $0.56

Yes position

Trudeau out in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $78.13
Potential profit: $78.13
User PnL: -$5

Canucks position

Canucks vs. Senators

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.61
Potential profit: $60.61
User PnL: -$20

Sharks position

Golden Knights vs. Sharks

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $43.48
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $4.87
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $21.45
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.99
Potential profit: $24.99
User PnL: -$14.99

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 26?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.69
Potential profit: $24.69
User PnL: -$20

Rams position

Spread: Rams (-3.5)

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.24
Potential profit: $23.24
User PnL: -$9.99

England position

Spread: England (-1.5)

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.41
Potential profit: $20.41
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$10

49ers position

49ers vs. Seahawks

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $19.23
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-18?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.38
Potential profit: $15.38
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-18?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.05
Potential profit: $15.05
User PnL: -$3.61

Yes position

Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.83
Potential profit: $12.83
User PnL: -$3.08

Yes position

Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.5
Potential profit: $10.5
User PnL: -$2.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-18?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $550.39

No position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $166.64

Yes position

Trump wins every swing state?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.6

Bears position

Spread: Rams (-3.5)

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.12

Ducks position

Ducks vs. Kings

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.43

Yes position

Will Trump say "weave" on The Joe Rogan Experience?

Ends Oct 25, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.97

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.15

Mexico position

Spread: Mexico (-1.5)

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.28

Zheng position

Australian Open Men's: Michael Zheng vs Sebastian Korda

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.83

United States position

Spread: United States (-1.5)

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.22

Patriots position

Texans vs. Patriots

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.58

France position

Spread: France (-1.5)

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.18

Hurricanes position

Senators vs. Hurricanes

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.86

Hanfmann position

Australian Open Men's: Yannick Hanfmann vs Zachary Svajda

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.9

Over position

Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 143.5

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.61

Canadiens position

Canucks vs. Canadiens

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.87

Yes position

Will Trump say "beach" during Pennsylvania rally on October 26?

Ends Oct 26, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.57

Wichita State Shockers position

Spread: South Florida Bulls (-7.5)

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.53

No position

Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-01-18?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.37

Yes position

Will Trump say "China" 10 or more times during Michigan rally on October 25?

Ends Oct 25, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.9

Yes position

Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-18?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94

Norrie position

Australian Open Men's: Benjamin Bonzi vs Cameron Norrie

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56

No position

Will Aston Villa FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49

Tiafoe position

Australian Open Men's: Frances Tiafoe vs Jason Kubler

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Spread: England (-1.5)

England 49% 20.41 shares
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)

Mexico 93% 47.61 shares
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?

Yes 19% 26.32 shares
Spread: United States (-1.5)

United States 45% 22.22 shares
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)

Mexico 21% 47.62 shares
Spread: France (-1.5)

France 55% 18.18 shares
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?

Yes 18% 111.11 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 99.9% 65.21 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.1% 476.19 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 46% 65.22 shares
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Yes 11.6% 1,729 shares
Senators vs. Hurricanes

Hurricanes 56% 17.39 shares