Yes position
Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.8
Polymarket Trader
earnest-desktop
0xed6fc8d193d901719b3690000112006b03f778b3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $27.58
- Win rate
- 95%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.23
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $3.32
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.18
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 1?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.8
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.23
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $3.32
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.18
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 1?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
US inauguration on January 20?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Will Solana reach $250 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Will BNB dip to $700 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 27?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $125k in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on December 26?
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 November 24-30?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Ethereum reach $5200 in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$47.73
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 16.3% 69.47 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?No 99.8% 50.92 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?No 98.9% 7.62 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?No 98.6% 21.11 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No 96.5% 52.11 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 1?No 97.1% 45.82 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 27?No 99.5% 44.53 shares
- Will BNB dip to $700 in January?No 99.3% 44.31 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on December 26?No 99.8% 44 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 November 24-30?No 99.9% 43.91 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?No 98.9% 43.87 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $5200 in September?No 99.9% 43.39 shares