Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.18K
- Potential profit
- $3.18K
- User PnL
- -$941.99
Polymarket Trader
6F456F7474666A7479
0xed71335ec71385e5b7553aa180dd68fbb379d7ce
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.34K
- Realized PnL
- $2.69K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 70%
- Current value
- $1.68K
- Potential payout
- $2.4K
- Potential profit
- $718.66
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- $609.54
Yes position
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?
Ends Oct 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.9%
- Current value
- $122.48
- Potential payout
- $1.79K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- Multiplier
- 14.60x
- User PnL
- -$480.29
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $542.62
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $511.01
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $181.5
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $686
- Potential profit
- $686
- User PnL
- -$251.78
Yes position
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $431.35
- Potential profit
- $431.35
- User PnL
- -$114.3
No position
Will the median home value in the DC Metro area be between $517,000 and $527,000 by March 1?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $331.42
- Potential profit
- $331.42
- User PnL
- -$156.58
No position
Will the median home value in the DC Metro area be between $548,000 and $554,000 on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $42
- Potential profit
- $42
- User PnL
- -$40.32
No position
Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,220,000 and $1,240,000 on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39
- Potential profit
- $39
- User PnL
- -$37.17
Yes position
Will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be between $1,060,000 and $1,080,000 by March 1?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.87
- Potential profit
- $21.87
- User PnL
- -$4.97
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
GPT-5.3 released by February 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $739.96
Yes position
Will the median home value in the US be between $420,000 and $425,000 by March 1?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $376.48
Yes position
Will the median home value in Chicago be between $315,000 and $320,000 by March 1?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $375.01
No position
Will the median home value in Miami be greater than $1,220,000 by March 1?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $259.39
Yes position
Will the median home value in the US be greater than $418,000 by February 1?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $237.81
No position
Will the median home value in the Austin, Texas metro area be greater than $420,000 by February 1?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $170.92
Yes position
Will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be less than $1,060,000 by February 1?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $161.32
Yes position
Will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be less than $1,130,000 by February 1?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.9
No position
Will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be less than $1,020,000 by March 1?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.11
No position
Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,070,000 and $1,100,000 by March 1?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42
Yes position
Will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be between $1,080,000 and $1,100,000 by March 1?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.32
No position
Will the median home value in New York City be less than $575,000 by March 1?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.12
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.68
Yes position
Will the median home value in Miami be greater than $1,100,000 by February 1?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.4
Yes position
Will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be between $1,100,000 and $1,200,000 by March 1?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.75
No position
Will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be between $1,040,000 and $1,060,000 by March 1?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.1
No position
Will the median home value in the US be less than $410,000 by February 1?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.2
No position
Will the median home value in Miami be less than $1,100,000 on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.01
No position
Will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be between $1,020,000 and $1,040,000 by March 1?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.75
Yes position
Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,130,000 and $1,160,000 by March 1?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Will the median home value in the US be greater than $435,000 on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
No position
Will the median home value in the DC Metro area be greater than $554,000 on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.68
No position
Will the median home value in the DC Metro area be less than $518,000 on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.68
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?Yes 33% 7.28 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?Yes 34.3% 1,046.35 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 44.6% 2,395.53 shares
- Will the median home value in the DC Metro area be greater than $554,000 on April 1?No 95.8% 87 shares
- Will the median home value in the DC Metro area be between $548,000 and $554,000 on April 1?No 96% 42 shares
- Will the median home value in the DC Metro area be less than $518,000 on April 1?No 95.8% 87 shares
- Will the median home value in Chicago be between $333,000 and $336,000 on April 1?No 95% 20 shares
- Will the median home value in Chicago be greater than $339,000 on April 1?No 95.2% 41 shares
- Will the median home value in the US be between $432,500 and $435,000 on April 1?No 95.6% 45 shares
- Will the median home value in the US be greater than $435,000 on April 1?No 80% 20 shares
- Will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be less than $1,125,000 on April 1?No 95.5% 50 shares
- Will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be greater than $1,200,000 on April 1?No 96% 33.75 shares