Polymarket Trader

Joy-bing

0xed7b5823a08f1fe610e7b97ca22af74125055cbe

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.66K
Realized PnL: $2.4K
Win rate: 70.8%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.43K
Potential profit: $1.43K
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 77%
Current value: $962.5
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $287.5
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: -$37.5

Yes position

Anthropic IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $597.31
Potential payout: $770.72
Potential profit: $173.41
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: -$27.49

No position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $634.27
Potential payout: $716.69
Potential profit: $82.42
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $134.27

Yes position

OpenAI IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 52%
Current value: $258.97
Potential payout: $498.02
Potential profit: $239.05
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: $58.97

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $399.51
Potential profit: $399.51
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $259.74
Potential profit: $259.74
User PnL: -$200

Brazil position

Spread: Scotland (-1.5)

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $203.89
Potential payout: $204.71
Potential profit: $0.82
User PnL: $3.89

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.1
Potential profit: $55.1
User PnL: -$27.55

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $581.24

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $391.18

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $320.8

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $238.63

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $237.5

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $203.14

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $155.82

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

Yes position

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.1

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.38

Yes position

Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.1%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $32.01

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.94

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.7

No position

Will South Africa win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.5

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.33

Yes position

Will Anthropic have closed its next funding round by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.19

No position

SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.4

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.4%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$2.16

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$14.29

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Spread: Scotland (-1.5)

Brazil 97.7% 204.71 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 58% 86.21 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 77% 259.74 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 69% 289.86 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 67% 298.51 shares
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?

No 80% 1,250 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 15.3% 560.53 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T?

No 97.9% 510.73 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T?

No 97.8% 557.25 shares
SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?

No 99% 288.33 shares
SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?

No 70% 267.74 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 89.2% 560.54 shares