Polymarket Trader

354466

0xed7be732191696b7a3ad7f2f10bcf27504e8dc73

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.24K
Realized PnL: $724.71
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 12.2%
Current value: $121.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $878.5
Multiplier: 8.23x
User PnL: $9.5

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.6%
Current value: $473.01
Potential payout: $500.01
Potential profit: $27
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $21.6

No position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $453.05
Potential profit: $453.05
User PnL: -$100.58

No position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $449.99
Potential profit: $449.99
User PnL: -$153

Curaçao position

Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $302
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $98
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $70

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$162

No position

Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$210

No position

Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 57%
Current value: $170.97
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $129.03
Multiplier: 1.75x
User PnL: -$12.03

No position

Starmer out by June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $32
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $168
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: -$86

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $141
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $59
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$92

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $368

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.2

Canada position

Spread: Canada (-1.5)

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.7%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $18.97

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.75

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.17

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.11

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.53

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.53

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.31

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.1

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.92

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.05

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 76°F or higher on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 26?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 59°F or below on April 2?

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.66

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C or higher on April 8?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 84°F or higher on April 1?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.75

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.72

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.57

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)

Curaçao 58% 400 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

No 34% 449.99 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 59% 500 shares
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?

No 59% 200 shares
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?

Yes 11.2% 754.21 shares
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?

No 61% 35 shares
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Over 67% 320 shares
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5

Under 57% 320 shares
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)

Scotland 52% 300 shares
Spread: Canada (-1.5)

Canada 96% 6.44 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 96.3% 227.29 shares
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?

Yes 46% 200 shares