Polymarket Trader

esmeralda482amir

0xed8bef19ec2d7a1d0cfd040a60452e7e9a350769

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $1.65
Win rate: 25%
Open positions: 1
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Latest Resolved Positions

No open position details returned

This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.95

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.36

No position

Will Elon tweet 240–254 times August 22–August 29?

Ends Aug 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will XRP dip to $2.00 in August?

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will Alexander Zverev win the 2025 US Open?

Ends Sep 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.95

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.36

No position

Will Elon tweet 240–254 times August 22–August 29?

Ends Aug 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will XRP dip to $2.00 in August?

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will Alexander Zverev win the 2025 US Open?

Ends Sep 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.1%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 4.8%
Multiplier: 21.05x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Trump be impeached in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Elon Musk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 6.7%
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.2%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 98.7%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.4%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?

Yes 3% 61 shares
Will the Conservative Liberals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

Yes 0.7% 107 shares
Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?

Yes 1.3% 132 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?

No 94.8% 36 shares
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?

Yes 1.6% 36 shares
Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?

Yes 1.5% 69 shares
Will the Conservative Liberals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

Yes 1.2% 68 shares
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?

Yes 1.5% 59 shares
Will FrP win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?

No 92.3% 41 shares
Will FrP win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?

No 93.9% 41 shares
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

No 98.8% 39 shares
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

No 98.8% 39 shares