Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.1%
- Current value
- $459.77
- Potential payout
- $1.99K
- Potential profit
- $1.53K
- Multiplier
- 4.34x
- User PnL
- $39.23
Polymarket Trader
StainlessChunk
0xed9024ca441ffee3d9636c573e703727d58db7c7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $459.77
- Realized PnL
- $682.58
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Kim Jong Un in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $124.16
- Potential profit
- $124.16
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.76
- Potential profit
- $17.76
- User PnL
- -$3.91
Yes position
Will FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.47
- Potential profit
- $11.47
- User PnL
- -$1.95
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $155.48
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.95
Yes position
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.41
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $60.71
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $59.11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.64
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.25
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $25.01
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.96
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.89
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.18
Yes position
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45%
- Multiplier
- 2.22x
- User PnL
- $10.35
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- $7.48
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 13.8%
- Multiplier
- 7.27x
- User PnL
- $5.85
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.36
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $4.17
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $2.17
Yes position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $1.07
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.3%
- Multiplier
- 8.16x
- User PnL
- $0.42
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.55
Yes position
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Multiplier
- 20.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.59
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$1.62
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 29% 1,034.48 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No 79% 116.45 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No 61% 116.46 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 29% 1,034.48 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes 98.5% 376.5 shares
- FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5Under 7% 46.94 shares
- Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?Yes 22% 17.33 shares
- Will FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?Yes 17% 11.18 shares
- Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Yes 11.8% 79.71 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 21.9% 550.41 shares
- Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?No 1.1% 454.55 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No 57.1% 219.8 shares