Polymarket Trader

0xed9447AFC07D1224A84001537D795bfc24Be53FC-1769697872954

0xed9447afc07d1224a84001537d795bfc24be53fc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $53.21
Realized PnL: $350.91
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will MrBeast's latest video get 60 million or more views on week 1?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.18K
Potential profit: $1.18K
User PnL: -$17.35

Yes position

Will MrBeast's latest video get between 55 and 60 million views on week 1?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $940
Potential profit: $940
User PnL: -$36.4

Yes position

Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $188.48
Potential profit: $188.48
User PnL: -$45.25

No position

Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $170
Potential profit: $170
User PnL: -$48.82

Spirit position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $110
User PnL: -$48.8

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) settle over $100 on the final trading day of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.8
Potential payout: $83.79
Potential profit: $82.99
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$34.4

Aurora Gaming position

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$14.5

No position

Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.6%
Current value: $2.16
Potential payout: $59.99
Potential profit: $57.83
Multiplier: 27.78x
User PnL: -$1.64

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 24.8%
Current value: $14.38
Potential payout: $58
Potential profit: $43.62
Multiplier: 4.03x
User PnL: -$2.09

Yes position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.38
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$4.98

No position

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$27.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $49.99
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $35.24
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $14.75
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$9.8

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 36°F or higher on February 10?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 35m?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$2.2

Galatasaray Esports position

Valorant: Galatasaray Esports vs FUT Academy (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Group B

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.75
Potential profit: $39.75
User PnL: -$6.76

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$11.91

No position

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$19.5

Yes position

DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$14.7

Yes position

Will Clavicular be banned from Kick by April 30?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$6.6

Yes position

Will Paul George attend Super Bowl LX?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$1.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.99
Potential profit: $29.99
User PnL: -$2.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.2
Potential profit: $28.2
User PnL: -$3.95

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.52

Strickland position

UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.3

No position

Will Robinhood say "Silver" during earnings call?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.5

Yes position

Claude 4.7 released by May 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.5

Yes position

Will "The Drama" score at least 77 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.9

Yes position

Will Player 167 win Beast Games: Season 2?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.08

Rockets position

Rockets vs. Thunder

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12

Yes position

Will Apollo Global Management (APO) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.8

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 8?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.38

Over position

Rockets vs. Thunder: O/U 211.5

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Over position

Pacers vs. Nets: O/U 211.5

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Yes position

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.1

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8

Yes position

Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.4

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.2

Up position

Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on January 29?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on February 10?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.6

Yes position

Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.7

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on April 5?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.4

FUT Esports position

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on February 9?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.8

Yes position

DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.6

Yes position

Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 22.5

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.34

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Yes 37% 20 shares
Will "Bleed Out" be said during the IEM Cologne 2026 Grand Finals?

Yes 19% 0.73 shares
Will "Bleed Out" be said during the IEM Cologne 2026 Grand Finals?

Yes 17% 7 shares
Will "Bleed Out" be said during the IEM Cologne 2026 Grand Finals?

Yes 17% 6 shares
Will "Bleed Out" be said during the IEM Cologne 2026 Grand Finals?

Yes 14% 6 shares
Will "Bleed Out" be said during the IEM Cologne 2026 Grand Finals?

Yes 11% 6 shares
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage

FUT Esports 48% 9.84 shares
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on April 6?

Yes 10% 20 shares
Valorant: Galatasaray Esports vs FUT Academy (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Group B

Galatasaray Esports 17% 9.75 shares
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?

Yes 16.7% 20 shares
Will MrBeast's latest video get 60 million or more views on week 1?

Yes 1.9% 310 shares
Will MrBeast's latest video get 60 million or more views on week 1?

Yes 1.8% 70 shares