Yes position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $6K
- User PnL
- -$30
Polymarket Trader
chainfish
@chain__fish
0xeda6361c4592c1af6b2a82ed49add4a94d2565eb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.49
- Realized PnL
- $293.83
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.2K
- Potential profit
- $5.2K
- User PnL
- -$25.8
Yes position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$25
Y
Yes position
Australia leading at halftime?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.3K
- Potential profit
- $2.3K
- User PnL
- -$2.7
No position
Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.07K
- Potential profit
- $2.07K
- User PnL
- -$2.95
N
No position
Denmark leading at halftime?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Over position
Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 5.5
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $900
- Potential profit
- $900
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Power Rangers position
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $700
- User PnL
- -$1
Y
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 6, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $1.74
- Potential payout
- $497.19
- Potential profit
- $495.45
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $1.24
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $392.41
- Potential profit
- $392.41
- User PnL
- -$0.78
No position
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $390
- Potential profit
- $390
- User PnL
- -$32
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C or below on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $335.5
- Potential profit
- $335.5
- User PnL
- -$0.34
Y
Yes position
Will anyone say "Six Seven" during Rick and Morty E3 S9?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$0.3
No position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $249.94
- Potential profit
- $249.94
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $220
- Potential profit
- $220
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Yes position
Will Trump and Xi only be photographed together during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Y
Yes position
Laso Finance FDV above $12M one day after launch
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $2.4
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $97.6
- Multiplier
- 41.67x
- User PnL
- $1.3
Y
Yes position
Laso Finance FDV above $50M one day after launch
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.35
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.65
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $89.63
- Potential profit
- $89.63
- User PnL
- -$3.83
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.6
- Potential profit
- $53.6
- User PnL
- -$1.78
Yes position
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.99
- Potential profit
- $29.99
- User PnL
- -$1.2
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$21.75
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $103.6
Yes position
USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.98
Yes position
USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39
Yes position
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.8
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.7
Yes position
USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.46
Yes position
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.04
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on April 9?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.94
Yes position
Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-06-06?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.62
No position
Over $500k committed to the ALIGN public sale?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.1
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.66
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.57
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.46
Yes position
Will Kyōto Sanga FC win on 2026-06-06?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4
Yes position
USD.AI FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8
No position
Reya FDV above $70M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $1.6
Yes position
Will Romania win on 2026-06-06?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Billions FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
Yes position
Will Armenia vs. Kazakhstan end in a draw?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
No position
Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Shimizu S-Pulse: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
Yes position
StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 38%
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- $0.8
Yes position
Will GRVT launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.65
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 6, 2026?Yes 0.2% 185 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 6, 2026?Yes 0.2% 86.54 shares
- Laso Finance FDV above $12M one day after launchYes 1.1% 100 shares
- Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?No 48% 50 shares
- Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?No 10% 190 shares
- Will GRVT launch a token by June 30, 2026?Yes 0.9% 16.43 shares
- Will GRVT launch a token by June 30, 2026?No 99.1% 22 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C or below on June 30?Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2026?Yes 89.1% 23 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 20?No 99.9% 5 shares
- Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2026?Yes 97% 5 shares
- Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2026?Yes 97% 15 shares