Polymarket Trader

Memes4Money

0xedac3ceabfb9a65caee73132a39efa8e1bf62bcd

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $53.7
Realized PnL: $51.39
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.9%
Current value: $27.36
Potential payout: $29.77
Potential profit: $2.41
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$1.64

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.89
Potential profit: $19.89
User PnL: -$18.5

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $16.01
Potential payout: $16.13
Potential profit: $0.12
User PnL: $1.01

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.37
Potential profit: $8.37
User PnL: -$6.36

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.2%
Current value: $5.41
Potential payout: $5.75
Potential profit: $0.33
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.41

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $1.99
Potential payout: $2.47
Potential profit: $0.48
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 8.4%
Current value: $0.19
Potential payout: $2.25
Potential profit: $2.06
Multiplier: 11.98x
User PnL: -$1.81

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.92
Potential profit: $1.92
User PnL: -$1

Knicks position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.85
Potential profit: $1.85
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 89.6%
Current value: $1.63
Potential payout: $1.82
Potential profit: $0.19
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0.63

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.41
Potential profit: $1.41
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $1.11
Potential payout: $1.35
Potential profit: $0.24
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $0.11

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.16

Broncos position

Broncos vs. Raiders

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.89

Yes position

Will Last Christmas - Wham! be the #1 song on Spotify this week?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.08

Natus Vincere position

Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere (BO3)

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.88

Yes position

Will MrBeast hit 460 Million subscribers by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.24

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.82

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.82

No position

Epstein client list released in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.75

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 21?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.75

No position

Will Claude 5 be released by February 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.74

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.57

Yes position

Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49

Yes position

Trump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.32

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.21

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

Makhachev position

UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.16

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2025-12-26?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12

No position

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Yes 98% 2.5 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 76% 8.37 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 95.5% 1.4 shares
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

No 97.9% 5.19 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 93% 19.89 shares
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Team Falcons 99.9% 2.98 shares
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Team Falcons 67% 2.99 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 99.9% 17.6 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 98.9% 17.6 shares
Weed rescheduled by June 30?

No 97.9% 1.11 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?

No 93% 16.13 shares
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Yes 89% 2.25 shares