No position
Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $7.19
- Potential payout
- $208.33
- Potential profit
- $201.14
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- -$2.81
Polymarket Trader
mcphearson99
0xedc4e9604396800bac6f5f28958f117b6dd8be57
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $163.64
- Realized PnL
- $264.42
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Marco Rubio attend NATO Summit?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $7.81
- Potential payout
- $175.42
- Potential profit
- $167.62
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- -$2.19
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $13.13
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $111.88
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $3.13
N
No position
Will Starmer officially leave office by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.8%
- Current value
- $4.93
- Potential payout
- $103.71
- Potential profit
- $98.78
- Multiplier
- 21.05x
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $17.31
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $59.61
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $7.31
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.1%
- Current value
- $7.23
- Potential payout
- $71.94
- Potential profit
- $64.71
- Multiplier
- 9.95x
- User PnL
- -$2.77
No position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.1%
- Current value
- $9.72
- Potential payout
- $68.96
- Potential profit
- $59.24
- Multiplier
- 7.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
No position
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $59.12
- Potential profit
- $59.09
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.97
No position
Will Charli XCX release a new original album by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $0.83
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $54.73
- Multiplier
- 66.67x
- User PnL
- -$8.61
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $10.83
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $30.83
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- $0.83
No position
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.6%
- Current value
- $2.58
- Potential payout
- $39.35
- Potential profit
- $36.77
- Multiplier
- 15.27x
- User PnL
- -$6.87
No position
Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $1.53
- Potential payout
- $39.21
- Potential profit
- $37.68
- Multiplier
- 25.64x
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $6.54
- Potential payout
- $38.46
- Potential profit
- $31.92
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- -$3.46
No position
U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $5.6
- Potential payout
- $37.37
- Potential profit
- $31.76
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$4.48
No position
Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $0.49
- Potential payout
- $33.73
- Potential profit
- $33.24
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$8.96
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $11.45
- Potential payout
- $32.26
- Potential profit
- $20.81
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- $1.45
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 36%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $27.77
- Potential profit
- $17.77
- Multiplier
- 2.78x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Ends Aug 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $10.41
- Potential payout
- $27.77
- Potential profit
- $17.36
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $0.42
Bosnia and Herzegovina position
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $4.34
- Potential payout
- $26.32
- Potential profit
- $21.97
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.66
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $5.13
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $19.88
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.3%
- Current value
- $4.99
- Potential payout
- $24.66
- Potential profit
- $19.66
- Multiplier
- 4.94x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Zoe Kravitz and Harry Styles engaged by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $10.16
- Potential payout
- $24.49
- Potential profit
- $14.33
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Tom Begich advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.4%
- Current value
- $2.26
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $21.74
- Multiplier
- 10.64x
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $9.17
- Potential payout
- $23.81
- Potential profit
- $14.64
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$0.83
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Steve Bannon exonerated by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $40.36
No position
SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.29
No position
Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton confirmed relationship by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $20.83
No position
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.18
No position
Will Pope Leo XIV publish his encyclical by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.73
No position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
No position
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.25
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $14.25
No position
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.37
No position
Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.92
No position
Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $11.69
No position
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $8.22
No position
Trump ballroom project unblocked by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.24
No position
New Half-Life game by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $6.21
No position
Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.18
No position
Pooh Shiesty charged by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.17
No position
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Kash Patel out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $4.42
No position
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $4.27
No position
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.2
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $4.18
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $3.52
No position
Will Nate and Cassie get divorced in Euphoria: Season 3?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.07
No position
Nocries signs for a pro CS2 organization by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $2.85
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?No 69% 6.21 shares
- Will Starmer officially leave office by July 31?No 4.5% 65 shares
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?No 54.2% 18.51 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?No 67% 14.92 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by July 31?No 64% 15.62 shares
- Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?No 62% 5 shares
- Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?No 0.4% 65.51 shares
- Will Marco Rubio attend NATO Summit?No 5.7% 35 shares
- Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?No 4.1% 65.51 shares
- Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03?No 2.4% 39.21 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 8% 125 shares
- Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?No 26% 38.46 shares