Polymarket Trader

the-contrarian

0xedc6a4bebfae0d494eef1d4d304d5808e63e20fc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.51K
Realized PnL: $204.5
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 6
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 29%
Current value: $516.94
Potential payout: $1.78K
Potential profit: $1.27K
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: $29.14

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $328
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $1.27K
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$96

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 7.3%
Current value: $87.6
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.11K
Multiplier: 13.70x
User PnL: $12

No position

Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 59%
Current value: $666.69
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $463.29
Multiplier: 1.69x
User PnL: $67.6

Yes position

Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $130.42
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $872.8
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$68.1

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 31.3%
Current value: $303.44
Potential payout: $971
Potential profit: $667.56
Multiplier: 3.20x
User PnL: -$93.85

Yes position

AI bubble burst in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.6%
Current value: $164.85
Potential payout: $843.25
Potential profit: $678.39
Multiplier: 5.12x
User PnL: $38.97

Yes position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $59.35
Potential payout: $698.24
Potential profit: $638.89
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$17.46

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $62.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $437.5
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will EUR/USD hit 1.10 (Low) in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $99.1
Potential payout: $471.92
Potential profit: $372.82
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: $6.16

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Thunder

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $399.99
Potential profit: $399.99
User PnL: -$44

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $21.45
Potential payout: $306.43
Potential profit: $284.98
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: $6.13

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $43.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $256.5
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$73.5

Magic position

Pistons vs. Magic

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$112

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than 0.6T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $7.13
Potential payout: $297.17
Potential profit: $290.04
Multiplier: 41.67x
User PnL: $3.13

No position

Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 87.3%
Current value: $17.46
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $2.54
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $3.26

Resolved Context

Closed positions

76ers position

Celtics vs. 76ers

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Rockets

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63

Raptors position

Cavaliers vs. Raptors

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61

Timberwolves position

Timberwolves vs. Spurs

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39

Pistons position

Pistons vs. Magic

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Raptors position

Raptors vs. Cavaliers

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$40.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

No 64% 60 shares
Timberwolves vs. Spurs

Timberwolves 33% 100 shares
Timberwolves vs. Spurs

Timberwolves 15% 200 shares
Raptors vs. Cavaliers

Raptors 27% 150 shares
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

No 71% 20 shares
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than 0.6T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

Yes 0.4% 26 shares
Pistons vs. Magic

Magic 12% 100 shares
Pistons vs. Magic

Magic 30% 100 shares
Pistons vs. Magic

Magic 70% 100 shares
Pistons vs. Magic

Pistons 11% 200 shares
Pistons vs. Magic

Pistons 23% 100 shares
Cavaliers vs. Raptors

Raptors 39% 100 shares