Polymarket Trader

GeoSignal

0xedd57776b680058c3eee5c6dd64236636d663235

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $13.77
Realized PnL: $20.41
Win rate: 54.2%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

Ends Jan 10, 2027

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $13.77
Potential payout: $110.16
Potential profit: $96.39
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$0.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1.6

No position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C or below on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.14
Potential profit: $16.14
User PnL: -$3.07

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$0.9

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$8.8

Yes position

Will May 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.37
Potential profit: $12.37
User PnL: -$0.17

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C or higher on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.45
Potential profit: $11.45
User PnL: -$4.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C or higher on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.37
Potential profit: $10.37
User PnL: -$0.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on May 20?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C or below on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.99
Potential profit: $9.99
User PnL: -$0.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.3

No position

Iran successfully targets shipping on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C or below on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.38

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C or higher on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 59°F or below on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C or higher on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.88

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C or below on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.81

No position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C or higher on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C or higher on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.83

No position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.7

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C or below on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.57

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C or higher on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.6%
Multiplier: 6.43x
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74%
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: -$0.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 36°C or below on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.15

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.22

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 93°F or below on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or below on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.29

No position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.4

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.43

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C or higher on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.46

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C or below on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.62

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

No 13% 21.74 shares
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

No 13% 67.53 shares
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

No 19% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C or higher on July 9?

No 93% 8.16 shares
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

No 24% 22.13 shares
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

No 24% 5 shares
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

No 24% 5 shares
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

No 24% 5.2 shares
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?

No 29% 5 shares
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?

No 31% 5 shares
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 7?

No 11.9% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C or higher on July 7?

No 60% 17.11 shares