Polymarket Trader

CainA

0xedf20d247a2f0fe7a6b2bbd4c29ed0ecbe8f931a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $10.67
Realized PnL: $651.02
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200.62
Potential profit: $200.62
User PnL: -$25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $4.77
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $40.68
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$0.23

No position

Iran successfully targets shipping on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $38.51
Potential profit: $38.37
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.87

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $38.46
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $1.12
Potential payout: $36.59
Potential profit: $35.47
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$1.88

Yes position

Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $2.14
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $33.57
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$2.86

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.49
Potential profit: $14.49
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $7.14
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.02
Potential profit: $6.02
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $186.77

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.33

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.79

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.43

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.26

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.33

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $29.19

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.66

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.36

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.53

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.62

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.95

No position

Starmer out by June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.84

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.81

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.38

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.87

No position

Starmer out by June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.36

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.32

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran successfully targets shipping on June 27?

No 2.6% 38.51 shares
Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?

Yes 0.1% 5,000 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

Down 56% 7.14 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

Down 98% 4.7 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

Down 85% 4.71 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

Up 69% 14.49 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

Up 99% 9.8 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

Up 51% 9.8 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

Up 71% 7.04 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

Down 65.3% 765.99 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

Up 63.9% 516.77 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

Up 12.5% 200.62 shares