Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.1%
- Current value
- $54.07
- Potential payout
- $359.28
- Potential profit
- $305.21
- Multiplier
- 6.64x
- User PnL
- -$5.93
Polymarket Trader
Felix1413
0xedf7f2c34970ca2c2f968d9c2d6f28fb9b621db8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $137.8
- Realized PnL
- $241.87
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?
Ends Jan 29, 2027- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $19.72
- Potential payout
- $231.97
- Potential profit
- $212.25
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$13.87
Yes position
Will world GDP growth be 3.2% in 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2027- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $1.78
- Potential payout
- $60.5
- Potential profit
- $58.72
- Multiplier
- 33.90x
- User PnL
- -$2.9
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $29.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $20.75
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2027- Implied probability
- 30.8%
- Current value
- $15.18
- Potential payout
- $49.36
- Potential profit
- $34.18
- Multiplier
- 3.25x
- User PnL
- $12.42
Yes position
Will world GDP growth be 3.3% in 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $1.38
- Potential payout
- $41.06
- Potential profit
- $39.68
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- $0.7
Yes position
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?
Ends Jan 29, 2027- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $1.38
- Potential payout
- $26.74
- Potential profit
- $25.36
- Multiplier
- 19.42x
- User PnL
- -$3.62
Yes position
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 32%
- Current value
- $6.96
- Potential payout
- $21.74
- Potential profit
- $14.79
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- -$3.04
Yes position
Will world GDP growth be 3.0% in 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2027- Implied probability
- 38.7%
- Current value
- $8.09
- Potential payout
- $20.92
- Potential profit
- $12.84
- Multiplier
- 2.59x
- User PnL
- $6.91
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.85
Yes position
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.73
Yes position
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.09
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.13
No position
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.72
Yes position
Will the SPD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.82
Yes position
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.96
No position
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.94
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.2
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $3.7
No position
Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.47
Up position
Meta (META) Up or Down on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $2.67
No position
Will Trump say "Hottest" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
Yes position
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.16
No position
Will Trump say "TikTok" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67
Yes position
Will Donald Trump say "Crypto" 5+ times during Crypto Summit on Friday?
Ends Mar 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
Yes position
Will Donald Trump say "Reserve" during Crypto Summit on Friday?
Ends Mar 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
No position
Will Trump say "Cookie" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25
No position
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.87
No position
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
Yes position
Will The Left wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Will Trump say "Mao" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $0.38
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026?No 69.9% 5 shares
- Will world GDP growth be 3.2% in 2026?No 89.8% 17 shares
- Will world GDP growth be 3.3% in 2026?No 95.6% 19.99 shares
- Will world GDP growth be 3.0% in 2026?No 69.9% 8 shares
- Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026?No 69.9% 10 shares
- Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026?No 69.9% 8 shares
- Will world GDP growth be 3.0% in 2026?No 69.9% 11 shares
- Will world GDP growth be 3.0% in 2026?No 69.9% 19 shares
- Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026?No 69.9% 5 shares
- Will world GDP growth be 3.0% in 2026?No 69.9% 12 shares
- Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026?No 69.9% 12 shares
- Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No 82% 12.65 shares