Polymarket Trader

alittleluck

0xedf8d74b6fc764645b1851c55f86cc703e4e5d40

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $240.78
Realized PnL: $51.6
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Claude go down 12+ times in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $164.03
Potential payout: $165.19
Potential profit: $1.16
User PnL: $2.03

No position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $30.82
Potential payout: $30.83
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.82

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $0.67
Potential payout: $20.41
Potential profit: $19.73
Multiplier: 30.30x
User PnL: -$0.33

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92.9%
Current value: $12.95
Potential payout: $13.94
Potential profit: $0.99
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.95

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $11.51
Potential payout: $11.52
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $1.51

No position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $9.26
Potential payout: $9.58
Potential profit: $0.32
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.23

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $6.9
Potential payout: $6.93
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 84.2%
Current value: $4.63
Potential payout: $5.51
Potential profit: $0.87
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: -$0.38

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Over position

England vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.9

Los Angeles Angels position

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.66

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.22

San Francisco Giants position

San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.18

Chicago Cubs position

Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.08

Toronto Blue Jays position

New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85

Philadelphia Phillies position

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.05

Under position

England vs. Ghana: O/U 8.5 Total Corners

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.26

No position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.73

Minnesota Twins position

Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Japan position

Spread: Tunisia (-1.5)

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

Saudi Arabia position

Spread: Spain (-5.5)

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Over position

England vs. Ghana: England 1st Half O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Under position

England vs. Ghana: 2nd Half O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Over position

England vs. Ghana: O/U 7.5 Total Corners

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Under position

Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 7.5 Total Corners

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Saudi Arabia position

Spread: Spain (-4.5)

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Under position

Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan O/U 2.5 Corners

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude go down 12+ times in June?

No 99.5% 100.53 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

No 95.9% 52.11 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

No 95.8% 52.17 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

No 80.3% 6.23 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

No 86.1% 13.94 shares
Will Benjamin Netanyahu attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Yes 4.9% 20.41 shares
Will Claude go down 12+ times in June?

No 97.2% 30.86 shares
Will Claude go down 12+ times in June?

No 91.4% 13.13 shares
Will Claude go down 12+ times in June?

No 96.8% 20.66 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

No 86.8% 11.52 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

No 86% 18.52 shares
England vs. Ghana: O/U 8.5 Total Corners

Under 57% 50.12 shares